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Global Change Abstracts The Swiss Contribution - SCNAT

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<strong>Global</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>Abstracts</strong> – <strong>The</strong> <strong>Swiss</strong> <strong>Contribution</strong> | Human Dimensions<br />

and Southern Sumatera grids. Additionally, various<br />

barriers in technical, institutional, financial,<br />

and other aspects have been identified as the justifications<br />

to pass the additionality test.<br />

Energy Policy, 2007, V35, N7, JUL, pp 3952-3966.<br />

08.1-403<br />

Short-term effects of carbon monoxide on<br />

mortality: An analysis within the APHEA<br />

project<br />

Samoli E, Touloumi G, Schwartz J, Anderson H R,<br />

Schindler C, Forsberg B, Vigotti M A, Vonk J, Kosnik<br />

M, Skorkovsky J, Katsouyanni K<br />

Greece, USA, England, Switzerland, Sweden, Italy,<br />

Netherlands, Slovenia, Czech Republic<br />

Medicine , Human & Public Health<br />

OBJECTIVES: We investigated the short-term effects<br />

of carbon monoxide on total and cardiovascular<br />

mortality in 19 European cities participating<br />

in the APHEA-2 (Air Pollution and Health: A European<br />

Approach) project. METHODS: We examined<br />

the association using hierarchical models implemented<br />

in two stages. In the first stage, data from<br />

each city were analyzed separately, whereas in the<br />

second stage the city- specific air pollution estimates<br />

were regressed on city-specific covariates<br />

to obtain overall estimates and to explore sources<br />

of possible heterogeneity. We evaluated the sensitivity<br />

of our results by applying different degrees<br />

of smoothing for seasonality control in the cityspecific<br />

analysis. RESULTS: We found significant<br />

associations of CO with total and cardiovascular<br />

mortality. A 1-mg/m(3) increase in the 2-day mean<br />

of CO, levels was associated with a 1.20% (95% confidence<br />

interval (CI), 0.63-1.77%) increase in total<br />

deaths and a 1.25% (95% CI, 0.30-2.21%) increase<br />

in cardiovascular deaths. <strong>The</strong>re was indication of<br />

confounding with black smoke and nitrogen dioxide,<br />

but the pollutant- adjusted effect of CO on<br />

mortality remained at least marginally statistically<br />

significant. <strong>The</strong> effect of CO on total and cardiovascular<br />

mortality was observed mainly in western<br />

and southern European cities and was larger<br />

when the standardized mortality rate was lower.<br />

CONCLUSIONS: <strong>The</strong> results of this large study are<br />

consistent with an independent effect of CO on<br />

mortality. <strong>The</strong> heterogeneity found in the effect<br />

estimates among cities may be explained partly by<br />

specific city characteristics.<br />

Environmental Health Perspectives, 2007, V115,<br />

N11, NOV, pp 1578-1583.<br />

191<br />

08.1-404<br />

A synopsis of land use, land-use change and<br />

forestry (LULUCF) under the Kyoto Protocol<br />

and Marrakech Accords<br />

Schlamadinger B, Bird N, Johns T, Brown S,<br />

Canadell J, Ciccarese L, Dutschke M, Fiedler J,<br />

Fischlin A, Fearnside P, Forner C, Freibauer A, Frumhoff<br />

P, Hoehne N, Kirschbaum M U F, Labat A, Marland<br />

G, Michaelowa A, Montanarella L, Moutinho<br />

P, Murdiyarso D, Pena N, Pingoud K, Rakonczay Z,<br />

Rametsteiner E, Rock J, Sanz M J, Schneider U A,<br />

Shuidenko A, Skutsch M, Smith P, Somogyi Z, Trines<br />

E, Ward M, Yamagata Y<br />

Austria, USA, Australia, Italy, Germany, Switzerland,<br />

Brazil, Indonesia, Luxembourg, Finland, Belgium,<br />

Spain, Netherlands, Scotland, Hungary, New Zealand,<br />

Japan<br />

Agriculture, Soil Sciences , Political Sciences , International<br />

Relations , Meteorology & Atmospheric<br />

Sciences<br />

<strong>The</strong> complexities inherent in land use, land-use<br />

change and forestry (LULUCF) activities have led<br />

to contentious and prolonged debates about the<br />

merits of their inclusion in the 2008-2012 first<br />

commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol. Yet the<br />

inclusion of these activities played a key role in<br />

agreement on the general framework of the Kyoto<br />

Protocol, and LULUCF will likely continue to play<br />

a substantial part in negotiations on national<br />

commitments post-2012. <strong>The</strong> Marrakech Accords<br />

dictate which LULUCF activities are to be included<br />

under the Kyoto Protocol and provide rules on how<br />

they are to be accounted in the first commitment<br />

period. However, these rules have limitations and<br />

drawbacks that may be avoided in the structure<br />

of future commitments beyond 2012. Through<br />

adherence to the objectives of the United Nations<br />

Framework Convention on Climate. <strong>Change</strong> (UN-<br />

FCCC), and the incorporation of several critical<br />

features, a future framework can more effectively<br />

address the mitigation challenges and opportunities<br />

of this sector.<br />

Environmental Science Policy, 2007, V10, N4, JUN,<br />

pp 271-282.<br />

08.1-405<br />

How is climate change perceived in relation<br />

to other socioeconomic and environmental<br />

threats in Nairobi, Kenya?<br />

Shisanya C A, Khayesi M<br />

Kenya, Switzerland<br />

Social Sciences , Economics , Meteorology & Atmospheric<br />

Sciences<br />

This article examines the perception of climate<br />

change, in relation to 21 other socioeconomic<br />

and environmental problems, on the part of 132

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