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Global Change Abstracts The Swiss Contribution - SCNAT

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<strong>Global</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>Abstracts</strong> – <strong>The</strong> <strong>Swiss</strong> <strong>Contribution</strong> | Oceans and Fresh Water Systems<br />

sociated earlier onset of stratification. According<br />

to our simulations a shift in the timing of phytoplankton<br />

growth resulting from a consistently<br />

warmer climate will exceed that resulting from a<br />

single unusually warm year. <strong>The</strong> numerical simulations<br />

are complemented by a statistical analysis<br />

of long-term data from Upper Lake Constance<br />

which demonstrates that oligotrophication has a<br />

negligible effect on the timing of phytoplankton<br />

growth in spring and that an early onset of the<br />

spring phytoplankton bloom is associated with<br />

high air temperatures and low wind speeds.<br />

<strong>Global</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Biology, 2007, V13, N9, SEP, pp<br />

1898-1909.<br />

08.1-268<br />

Water level fluctuations and dynamics of amphibious<br />

plants at Lake Constance: Long-term<br />

study and simulation<br />

Peintinger M, Prati D, Winkler E<br />

Germany, Switzerland<br />

Plant Sciences , Modelling , Limnology , Marine &<br />

Freshwater Biology<br />

Inundations of lakeshores are classical examples<br />

of how disturbance can influence community diversity<br />

and composition. As the occurrence and<br />

intensity of flooding are predicted to change dramatically<br />

as a result of climate change, predicting<br />

the consequences of such changes has become a<br />

major task for community ecology. Here we present<br />

abundance data of five species that comprise a<br />

species-poor community of high conservation value<br />

at lakeshores of Lake Constance over 17 years,<br />

during which one of the longest flood periods<br />

and the lowest water levels since 1890 occurred.<br />

We used simple regression models and increasingly<br />

sophisticated Markov chain models plus<br />

non-linear parameter estimation to put down<br />

abundance changes to direct effects of flooding<br />

on population-dynamic parameters and to indirect<br />

effects of flooding through modification of<br />

interspecific competition. We found a negative effect<br />

of flood duration on abundance changes for<br />

the non-specialist species Agrostis stolonifera and<br />

Phalaris arundinacea, but no effect on Carex acuta.<br />

<strong>The</strong> specialist species, Ranunculus reptans but<br />

not Littorella uniflora showed a positive effect of<br />

flooding. Data analysis revealed an unambiguous<br />

competitive hierarchy with the two graminoid<br />

species (C acuta, P. arundinacea) being superior,<br />

and the habitat specialists being most sensitive<br />

to interspecific competition. We used estimated<br />

parameters to project the community dynamics<br />

under different flooding regimes. Long-term projection<br />

showed that the original community is<br />

threatened by two non-specialist species (C acuta<br />

139<br />

and P. arundinacea). Even if this forecast was influenced<br />

by various model limitations, it may indicate<br />

irreversible changes in soil fertility during<br />

the phase of high eutrophication between 1950<br />

and 1980. Our study demonstrated that long-term<br />

abundance releves combined with Markov modelling<br />

and predictive simulations are an important<br />

counterpart to detailed short-term studies. <strong>The</strong><br />

combination of empirical and theoretical methods<br />

elucidates the interaction of biotic and abiotic<br />

factors in community change.<br />

Perspectives in Plant Ecology Evolution and Systematics,<br />

2007, V8, N4, pp 179-196.<br />

08.1-269<br />

Phytoplankton blooms in the Ross Sea, Antarctica:<br />

Interannual variability in magnitude,<br />

temporal patterns, and composition<br />

Peloquin J A, Smith W O Jr<br />

USA, Switzerland<br />

Oceanography , Marine & Freshwater Biology<br />

<strong>The</strong> continental shelf of the Ross Sea, Antarctica,<br />

is a unique region within the Southern Ocean.<br />

Phytoplankton growth is believed to be seasonally<br />

limited, first in austral spring by irradiance, and<br />

then in summer by biologically available iron. It<br />

also is historically known to have taxonomically<br />

distinct regimes: the south-central portion is<br />

dominated by Phaeocystis antarctica and to the<br />

west diatoms are abundant. We measured photochemical<br />

yield to interpret the health of the phytoplankton<br />

assemblage from 2001-2004 and interfaced<br />

these measurements with satellite remote<br />

sensing of pigments. <strong>The</strong> bloom of 2001-2002 was<br />

similar in both temporal and spatial distributions<br />

to the climatological mean of the Ross Sea, with a<br />

peak in biomass being observed in mid-December<br />

within the Ross Sea polynyas; F-v/F-m values averaged<br />

0.43. We found high (0.50-0.65) F-v/F-m for<br />

most of the seasonal phytoplankton bloom for<br />

2002-2003, suggesting that it was not seasonally<br />

iron limited. An unusual, large bloom occurred<br />

during 2003-2004, with an initial bloom of P. antarctica<br />

during austral spring followed by an extensive<br />

diatom bloom in summer that may have<br />

been enhanced by an intrusion of modified circumpolar<br />

deep water. On the basis of an analysis<br />

of the historical SeaWiFS records, accumulation<br />

of phytoplankton biomass in February may occur<br />

approximately every 2-4 years, potentially being<br />

a significant source of carbon on the continental<br />

shelf.<br />

Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans, 2007,<br />

V112, NC8, AUG 23 ARTN: C08013.

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