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Climate Action 2011-2012

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Kyoto Protocol (CMP) as early as possible and in time to<br />

ensure that there is no gap between the first and second<br />

commitment periods.<br />

Change The Bali Road Map? ouT<br />

oF The quesTion<br />

Durban will be crucial to the Kyoto Protocol, taking into<br />

account that the first commitment period expires in <strong>2012</strong>.<br />

If Parties fail to define further commitments for Annex I<br />

Parties under the Kyoto Protocol there will be a gap that<br />

could undermine this rules-based instrument. In addition, the<br />

COP and CMP in Durban will be the first major conferences<br />

ather parties adopted the Cancun Agreements, which renewed<br />

trust in the multilateral process. We will therefore also be<br />

challenged to make these agreements operational.<br />

The challenge now is to make<br />

these agreements operational.<br />

The success of the Durban Conference depends on the<br />

parties’ constructive work, based on the agreement and<br />

commitments currently in place. Unfortunately there are<br />

some strange messages suggesting another unacceptable goal.<br />

The Bali Road Map had been agreed in order to enhance<br />

action, respecting common but differentiated responsibilities,<br />

while ensuring the comparability of efforts among developed<br />

country parties. However, contrary to what was agreed under<br />

the Bali Road Map, some countries have expressed preference<br />

for a new model of international regime on climate change,<br />

based on only one new track. This is not in line with the<br />

process agreed four years ago. Something like that could<br />

represent a very dangerous new approach, which could<br />

undermine the multilateral rules and institutions that have<br />

been created over the past fourteen years. Other countries<br />

still would like to preserve a rules-based international regime,<br />

but not exactly the existing Kyoto Protocol. In a nutshell,<br />

these countries are in favour of all big economies committing<br />

to reduce greenhouse gas emissions based on quantified<br />

targets, similarly to the model that today is applicable to<br />

developed countries. Meanwhile, another group of countries<br />

are opposing Kyoto focused on the idea that all parties,<br />

developed or developing countries, could unilaterally define<br />

their mitigation actions, based on an approach similar to and<br />

originally thought out for developing countries under the Bali<br />

<strong>Action</strong> Plan.<br />

There are countries who have expressed the intention of<br />

moving away from Kyoto to present mitigation pledges<br />

under the Convention track. It is difficult to accept that a<br />

country is abandoning Kyoto in order to do more.<br />

poliTiCally RelevanT TeChniCal<br />

issues<br />

The Government of Brazil continues to work with a view<br />

to ensure a second commitment period for Annex I Parties<br />

under the Kyoto Protocol and to implement the Cancun<br />

Agreements. It simply intends to implement the road map<br />

that has been agreed four years ago. The biggest challenge is<br />

to make this scenario politically feasible, in order to make it<br />

operational from a technical basis. The AWG-KP has been<br />

able to achieve a technical negotiation document which is a<br />

Rio de Janeiro’s night skyline seen from the Sugarloaf.<br />

181 climateactionprogramme.org<br />

© Mark Goble

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