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Some say banks’ incentive structures are such that collusion becomes the only way for<br />

currency traders to meet targets<br />

The competition commission’s case against bank currency traders accused of colluding is<br />

heating up. It’s far from a done deal, but the authority will take heart from the guilty plea by<br />

BNP Paribas USA just last week to currency rigging, and its payment of a US$90m penalty<br />

to the US department of justice.<br />

Its French parent is named in the SA commission’s case, which is gaining momentum amid<br />

a global clean-up of the $5.1 trillion-a-day foreign exchange market that has netted<br />

regulators more than $10bn in fines since 2013, according to Bloomberg.<br />

Shortly before Christmas, as if in response to talk that the case was dead in the water, the<br />

commission filed a supplementary affidavit in which it provided details of how currency<br />

traders conspired to fix prices on rand-dollar currency trades — a $40bn-a-day currency pair<br />

at the end of 2016.<br />

Fingering 35 individuals and 23 financial institutions — up from 18 previously, after it added<br />

related-party entities that were incorrectly excluded — the commission describes, over 32<br />

pages, conversations between competing traders via the Bloomberg chat room.<br />

In one example, JPMorgan’s Akshay Aiyer is said to have asked Barclays Capital’s Nicholas<br />

Williams to stop buying US dollars, as Aiyer was trying to move the price down. Other<br />

examples reveal how traders allegedly set the bid-offer spread, shared information about<br />

customer orders and held trades to reserve liquidity for each other.<br />

The affidavit will go some way towards addressing banks’ exception applications, many of<br />

which decried the commission’s February 2017 referral to the competition tribunal as “vague<br />

and embarrassing” — legal parlance for it Freddy Mavunda being so defective as to<br />

prejudice the responding banks. The tribunal will hear exception applications on July 30.<br />

Then the commission’s evidence will be tested — provided banks don’t settle first, which is<br />

generally the commission’s preferred option.<br />

Collusion cases often succeed on the basis of a whistleblower coming forward and guilty<br />

parties then caving, as happened in the construction sector.<br />

Already, Citibank settled in March, paying a R69.5m fine. Barclays Capital, Barclays Bank<br />

Plc and Absa have applied for leniency.<br />

These entities must all co-operate with the investigation, meaning the commission has a<br />

number of insiders spilling the beans and freely admitting guilt.<br />

Meanwhile, a criminal investigation into the foreign exchange market by the US government<br />

and court rulings in other countries are offering more juicy material.<br />

Investigations into the notoriously opaque foreign exchange market are long overdue. And<br />

they may lead to some uncomfortable questions for banks, which have been accused of<br />

perversely giving incentives to their currency traders in such a way that collusion becomes<br />

the only way to meet targets.<br />

A far more nuanced discussion needs to take place about whether the current trading<br />

environment is serving the best<br />

interests of either the corporates or the banks<br />

George Glynos<br />

One foreign exchange derivatives broker says: “There’s a direct incentive for traders to<br />

[collude] because they’ve got skin in the game.”<br />

Mfundo Ngobese, an inspector in the commission’s cartels division, says banks encourage<br />

their traders to communicate frequently with competitors by allowing multilateral chat rooms.<br />

Says George Glynos, MD at ETM Analytics: “Traders find themselves under immense<br />

pressure in a market where corporate clients can be mercenary in their search for the best<br />

price, leaving traders in the unenviable position of having to sometimes limit losses as the<br />

best-case scenario should the market run against them.<br />

“I’m not condoning collusive behaviour, but a far more nuanced discussion needs to take<br />

place about whether the current trading environment is serving the best interests of either<br />

the corporates or the banks.” Some of this may be explained by sweeping post-crisis<br />

regulatory reforms, which have forced banks to manage balance sheets more prudently and<br />

hold more high-quality and expensive liquid assets, such as government bonds.<br />

In the pre-crisis boom years, banks warehoused risk more readily, leveraging off their<br />

balance sheets to hold open trading positions through their proprietary trading desks (where<br />

they traded for their own account), helping to facilitate market making and price discovery.<br />

In this environment, traders might have felt more empowered to give clients keener pricing<br />

on forex transactions, trading the positions inherited from their clients for a longer period

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