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ifda dossier 74 - Dag Hammarskjöld Foundation

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<strong>ifda</strong> <strong>dossier</strong> <strong>74</strong> . november/december 1989 global space<br />

The new detente:<br />

Some reflections from the South<br />

by Rajni Kothari<br />

Lo kayan<br />

Alipur Road 13<br />

New Delhi 110 054, India<br />

Wliat is happening all around us? Is the world suddenly becoming a better place to<br />

live in? More secure, less militarising with the shadow of nuclear war receding and<br />

the arms race being contained under the impact of what may turn out to be a New<br />

Detente? Is it also going to be a more humane place to be in, more permissive of<br />

human rights and cultural plurality, more democratic internally and accommodative<br />

for di~zrse national aspirations externally? In effect providing a truly multilateral<br />

global order, cooperative within and across regions, keen to resolve long-standing<br />

disputes in power relations, with softening of 'hard' positions by tnajor power centres,<br />

triggering off a chain of softening up across the board? Building on positive'<br />

tendencies within specific regions and countries while at the same time attending to<br />

tnajor crises domestically within major countries (mainly in respect of the economy),<br />

hence producing pressures for demilitarization for oilier societies as well?<br />

Sounds too good to be true? In reality<br />

things don't quite work out that way.<br />

Human history is witness to major<br />

reversals in world affairs, at times for<br />

the better, especially after the balance<br />

of forces that govern the world have<br />

gone so off the keel and appear close<br />

to an abyss. Either son^ small or large<br />

step somewhere starts off a chain of<br />

happenings that keep extending into<br />

other spheres or there are simultrineous<br />

spurs from diverse spaces all of which<br />

cumulate towards a brighter opening up<br />

of human prospects. Is something of<br />

this kind happening around us? Don't<br />

at least the announced intentions of<br />

major powers indicate some such turn<br />

in the process of history, at any rate of<br />

contemporary history, with possible<br />

consequences for the longer term too?<br />

No doubt, there are bound to be and<br />

there will be forces at work that would<br />

like this not to happen and will try to<br />

intercede accordingly. And, of course,<br />

there will be persisting counter-tenden-<br />

cics still at work which will nut allow<br />

the changeover to be in any way<br />

smooth or easy to accomplish. And yet<br />

doesn't one notice a whole array of<br />

happenings that have so far at any rate

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