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and hNMb both completely failed to predict the triple stranded hinge in cAMP dependent<br />

protein kinase, while Stonehinge and TLSMD either failed or had partial success. For the<br />

closed form of this protein hNMd was the only successful predictor. For the open form,<br />

one of the three hinge points is in a disordered region that does not appear in the crystal<br />

structure. hNMd has a cluster of hinge predictions centered about that break in the chain<br />

and therefore it was arguably as successful as could be expected under the circumstances.<br />

The same argument could not be made for the other predictors, as the reader can verify<br />

by examining Figure 4.3.<br />

In general, we find that residues identified by hNMd coincide to a high degree with the<br />

general location of the hinge. However the predicted hinge regions were broad, lowering<br />

the specificity and raising the p-value.<br />

TLSMD<br />

As mentioned earlier, because hinges for N=1,2,3,4,5 are reported together, the set of<br />

TLSMD "hinge predictions" for each protein will be larger than the actual number of<br />

hinge points. That is, the forced partition of a 3-domain protein into only 2 segments will<br />

tend to create a “false” breakpoint somewhere inside the middle domain, rather than<br />

finding either of the two “true” domain boundaries. Even if the two correct boundaries<br />

are found by the TLSMD partitions for N≥3, this initial false prediction will remain in the<br />

prediction set. This results in a poorer showing on a ROC curve if the extra predictions<br />

are treated as false positives. An alternative would have been to manually filter out these<br />

192

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