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Tidal Current Energy

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Nuclear Power (Fission)<br />

generated from different technologies (nuclear, coal and gas) for plants commencing<br />

operation in 2015.<br />

The three technologies were analyzed using an 8% discount rate. This discount<br />

rate was considered by the French Planning Office to be compatible with<br />

the current profitability requirements of the electricity sector. At a 90% load<br />

capacity factor and with a €20 per tonne of CO 2 cost (the latter considered to be<br />

realistic in a post-Kyoto world), nuclear is the most competitive technology. At<br />

an 11% discount rate the costs for all of the technologies are very similar before<br />

carbon costs are added.<br />

The other key variable for the competitiveness of nuclear is the load factor.<br />

If nuclear operates for less than 5000 hours per year then it is less competitive<br />

than gas plants. In practice, nuclear tends to run at baseload and operates for<br />

around 8000 hours per year. For a nuclear plant to run for as few as 5000 hours<br />

would assume significant periods of unplanned outage.<br />

3.6 . The future of nuclear power (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) [7]<br />

This report was an interdisciplinary study published in 2003. Its key conclusions<br />

are that nuclear power is not currently an economically competitive<br />

choice. Moreover, unlike other energy technologies, nuclear power requires<br />

significant government involvement because of safety, proliferation and waste<br />

concerns. If, in the future, carbon dioxide emissions carry a significant price,<br />

however, nuclear energy could be an important option for generating electricity.<br />

The nuclear option should be retained, precisely because it is an important<br />

carbon-free source of power that can potentially make a significant contribution<br />

to future electricity supply.<br />

The conclusions were based on a model to evaluate the real cost of electricity<br />

from nuclear power versus pulverized coal plants and natural gas combined<br />

cycle plants (at various projected levels of real lifetime prices for natural gas),<br />

over their economic lives. These technologies are most widely used today and,<br />

without a carbon tax or its equivalent, are less expensive than many renewable<br />

technologies. The cost model uses assumptions that commercial investors<br />

would be expected to use today, with parameters based on actual experience<br />

rather than engineering estimates of what might be achieved under ideal conditions;<br />

it compares the constant or levelized price of electricity over the life of a<br />

power plant that would be necessary to cover all operating expenses and taxes,<br />

and provide an acceptable return to investors. The comparative figures assume<br />

an 85% capacity factor and a 40-year economic life for the nuclear plant, reflect<br />

economic conditions in the USA, and consider a range of projected improvements<br />

in nuclear cost factors.<br />

Reductions in costs can be brought about as a result of reducing construction<br />

cost by 25%, construction time from five to four years, operating and maintenance<br />

costs and the cost of capital to that for gas and coal. This would reduce<br />

levelized nuclear costs from 6.7 to 4.2 US cents per kilowatt hour, which would<br />

be comparable with coal- and gas-fired generation, assuming moderate gas<br />

51

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