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Tidal Current Energy

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The Future of Methane and Coal to Petrol and Diesel Technologies<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

Synthesis gas generation<br />

Gas conversion and tail gas processing<br />

Product upgrading and utilities<br />

Figure 5.2 . The capital cost breakdown of a GTL plant.<br />

● strategic drive of countries to diversify their energy supply;<br />

● the value addition of the CTL/GTL technologies in comparison with other<br />

●<br />

technologies that will compete for the same resources;<br />

environmental factors.<br />

2.1 . Demand for liquid transportation fuels<br />

Due to the strong economic growth in India, China and North America, it is<br />

estimated that the demand for liquid fuels will increase from 83 � 10 6 barrels<br />

per day in 2004 to 118 � 10 6 barrels per day in 2030 [9] , and that about twothirds<br />

of the growth will be in the transportation sector ( Figure 5.3 (Plate 8)).<br />

The expected sustained oil price of more than US $49 per barrel creates an<br />

opportunity for the application of CTL and GTL technologies and other nonconventional<br />

sources, since there are few competitive alternatives for liquid<br />

transportation fuels. From Figure 5.4 (Plate 9) it can be seen that the estimated<br />

production of CTL and GTL fuels is expected to increase from 0.38 � 10 6 barrels<br />

per day in 2004 to about 3.6 � 10 6 barrels per day in 2030 [9] .<br />

2.2 . Availability of coal and natural gas, and the strategic role<br />

of GTL and CTL<br />

The estimated remaining world reserves of oil [10] , coal [11] and natural gas<br />

[10] per region are given in Table 5.8 . The data for North America include the<br />

179.2 � 10 9 barrels of Canadian oil sand reserves.<br />

50%<br />

85

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