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Annual Meeting - SCEC.org

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Poster Abstracts | Group 2 – Seismology<br />

2-124<br />

PALEOCLIMATE CONSTRAINTS ON CHANNEL INCISION AND EARTHQUAKE<br />

SLIP AT THE BIDART FAN SITE, SAN ANDREAS FAULT, CALIFORNIA Noriega GR,<br />

Grant Ludwig LB, Akciz SO, and Arrowsmith JR<br />

Laterally offset channels are one of the main geomorphological features that are commonly used to<br />

infer slip rates, estimate the magnitude of these paleoearthquakes and their recurrence intervals.<br />

Difficulty in constraining the age of channel incision, however, generally introduces large<br />

uncertainties into the calculations. We combine paleoclimate data from southern California with<br />

paleoseismologic data from the Carrizo section of the San Andreas Fault (SAF) to better interpret<br />

the age of some of the ephemeral stream channels that are offset by paleoearthquakes that ruptured<br />

this section of the SAF. In this study, we assume that runoff from precipitation is the main driving<br />

force of channel incision in the Carrizo Plain, and by identifying the extreme wet and dry periods<br />

based on the readily available climate data, particularly precipitation data, we narrow down the<br />

timing of initiation of channel incision. This allows us to examine the rate of channel incision across<br />

the San Andreas fault and compare it with the rate of seismic events. We identified several extreme<br />

climate events (wet years) as likely dates of channel incision events in the Carrizo Plain. The<br />

findings reveal new constraints on incision of two channels in the Bidart Fan site. We propose that<br />

a channel (NW channel) that has been offset 14.6 to 18.4 m, could have been incised during an<br />

extreme wet year in either A.D. 1366 or A.D. 1418. A second channel (SE channel) that is offset 7 or<br />

8 m probably incised in A.D 1642. Grant and Sieh (1994) indicated the 14.6 to 18.4 m offset of the<br />

NW channel is due to the 1857 and one or two previous earthquake(s). Grant and Sieh (1994)<br />

inferred 7 or 8 m offset of the SE channel is due to the 1857 earthquake alone. The new climate<br />

inferred dates of channel incision, along with earthquake dates from Akciz et al. (submitted)<br />

suggest the NE channel may have been offset by three or four earthquake events, and the SE<br />

channel has been offset by the 1857 and possibly by a previous earthquake.<br />

2-125<br />

CRUSTAL ANISOTROPY MEASURED NEAR THE CALICO FAULT IN THE<br />

EASTERN CALIFORNIA SHEAR ZONE Colella H, and Cochran ES<br />

We present preliminary results from a study of crustal anisotropy near the Calico Fault located in<br />

the Eastern California Shear zone. Shear wave splitting is used to approximate the in situ stress<br />

field and/or shear fabric near the fault and examine whether proximity to the main slip plane<br />

affects the observed anisotropy. Between June and November 2006, approximately 65 seismic<br />

stations were deployed in a grid spanning 4 km across and 1.5 km along the Calico fault to explore<br />

seismic properties of a fault that has not experienced a major earthquake in hundreds to thousands<br />

of years. Here we examine shallow crustal anisotropy determined using the 37 earthquakes that<br />

occur within the shear wave window, with an angle of incidence less than 45 degrees, during the<br />

experiment period. Splitting parameters are determined using an automated cross-correlation<br />

method that determines the fast direction and delay time for each station-event pair. Preliminary<br />

results show significant scatter in fast directions and delay times, but suggest a fast direction<br />

between N15°W and N15°E. Future work will examine the relationship between observed shear<br />

wave splitting and event-station path.<br />

2-128<br />

EVOLVING AFTERSHOCK SEISMICITY USING RATE-STATE EQUATIONS IN A 3D<br />

HETEROGENEOUS STRESS FIELD Smith DE, and Dieterich JH<br />

We combine 3D models of stress heterogeneity [Smith, 2006; Smith and Heaton, 2008] with a<br />

formulation for seismicity based on rate-state friction [Dieterich, 1994; Dieterich, et al, 2003] to<br />

208 | Southern California Earthquake Center

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