Norsk Telefoningeniørmøte 1992 - Telenor
Norsk Telefoningeniørmøte 1992 - Telenor
Norsk Telefoningeniørmøte 1992 - Telenor
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have all heard the expression: “I’m from<br />
Corporate and I am here to help.” A<br />
remark that is seen by many to combine<br />
two mutually exclusive ideas in a single<br />
sentence. Nevertheless, the telecommunication<br />
suppliers that succeed will be the<br />
ones that meet this issue head on and are<br />
able to work with the multinational at all<br />
levels to agree and successfully implement<br />
global strategies locally.<br />
To summarise the points I am making, I<br />
would first observe that the major multinational<br />
companies will be the driving<br />
force behind many of the new services<br />
and products. Secondly, these services<br />
will be truly multinational and multilateral<br />
- that is they will be increasingly<br />
available around the world at all major<br />
centres of industry and commerce and<br />
available between these centres not just<br />
to these centres. Thirdly, these primary<br />
services, whatever they are - whether<br />
voice, data or image oriented or some<br />
combination of all three - will have to be<br />
fully supported by management and support<br />
information systems and by local<br />
support organisations around the world if<br />
they are going to be of maximum benefit<br />
to the users.<br />
It is also a fact that today such ubiquitous<br />
support systems and services are not<br />
available. The more far-sighted companies<br />
are beginning to deploy such organisations<br />
either through organic growth or<br />
through partnerships. It is like building a<br />
jigsaw. As you put the first pieces<br />
together the picture is not very obvious.<br />
However, as more and more pieces of the<br />
jigsaw go together the picture becomes<br />
more obvious and it is easier and easier<br />
to find more pieces that go into place. So<br />
I believe it will be with multilateral services<br />
and support, eventually they will<br />
have a momentum of their own but like<br />
the jigsaw if you have the picture on the<br />
box it helps you to determine what you<br />
are aiming for.<br />
These trends will, in turn, give added<br />
weight to the ever-increasing demand for<br />
more bandwidth. Today, our ability to<br />
deliver virtually unlimited bandwidth<br />
seems more constrained by regulation<br />
and market access than by technologies.<br />
Within the multilateral environments,<br />
this demand for more and more<br />
bandwidth is fuelled by user application<br />
needs. EDI, Virtual Private Networks,<br />
High Definition TV, FAX, Video Imag-<br />
ing, Multi-Media Applications - the list<br />
of applications is large and continues to<br />
grow, especially when one extends these<br />
applications to broadcasting. This in turn<br />
leads to a demand for improved Wide<br />
Area Networks that provide costeffective<br />
access, dynamic bandwidth<br />
management and increased address<br />
flexibility.<br />
To illustrate this point, I would like to<br />
tell you a little about some work we are<br />
currently conducting in the UK. In<br />
response to the British Government’s<br />
liberalization policy, we are evaluating<br />
the idea of laying a high-quality, highperformance<br />
fibre trunk network along<br />
the canal infrastructure in England.<br />
Obviously, it has been very important to<br />
establish the demand for such a service.<br />
Our research showed that by extrapolating<br />
current practices there would be<br />
a growth in demand for bandwidth of<br />
between 3 and 4 times the current levels<br />
by the end of the decade. However, the<br />
really interesting piece of information<br />
that emerged from this research was that,<br />
given the availability of cost-effective<br />
bandwidth, certain applications like LAN<br />
to LAN applications, file transfer<br />
CAD/CAM applications, imaging application<br />
could increase 50 fold over a five<br />
year period. The overall impact of this<br />
type of demand is very hard to assess but<br />
there is undoubtedly a demand there.<br />
In this context, I cannot forget my early<br />
days in the computer industry when 8K<br />
or 16K bytes of memory was considered<br />
normal and seemingly huge applications<br />
could be implemented on these computers.<br />
32K or 64K was considered luxurious<br />
to the point of extravagance. Today,<br />
even the most junior member of my staff<br />
would look pitifully at me if I ask<br />
him/her to work on a personal computer<br />
with less than 2 megabytes of memory<br />
and then he would require 40 megabytes<br />
of disc back-up.<br />
There is a direct parallel with bandwidth.<br />
We shall see this same seemingly<br />
insatiable demand for bandwidth spreading<br />
from local area networks where it has<br />
already taken hold, to Global Wide Area<br />
Networks.<br />
As the suppliers progressively respond to<br />
these requirements, the more confidence<br />
users will have in deploying these applications<br />
around their organisational globe.<br />
This process is inter-active, in that the<br />
more bandwidth that is available, the<br />
more widely applications demanding<br />
bandwidth will be deployed. It would<br />
seem that the process is unstoppable and<br />
it probably is but it can certainly be<br />
slowed down. It will slow down if the<br />
services and support offered are not of<br />
the highest quality and reliability.<br />
Nobody takes “bet your company decisions”<br />
lightly and users will abandon<br />
corporate telecommunication strategies if<br />
there is any suggestion that their business<br />
will be put in danger by failure to meet<br />
committed quality levels.<br />
There are many diverse but inter-related<br />
technologies driving Wide Area<br />
Networks today - SONET, FAST<br />
PACKET, SDH, FRAME RELAY, OSI,<br />
C7 SIGNALLING, BROADBAND<br />
ISDN, CELL RELAY and many others<br />
too numerous to mention, all of which<br />
will make more effective use of<br />
bandwidth and encourage both its<br />
deployment and use. But it is up to the<br />
service suppliers to translate these<br />
technologies into user benefits.<br />
Provision of these services will be investment<br />
and market issues - they are<br />
unlikely to be technology issues. At the<br />
end of the day, it will be the users who<br />
pay. Recognising this, the suppliers whoever<br />
they are, will be very sure that they<br />
address the needs of their paymasters.<br />
To put this all into context as we progress<br />
through this decade into the 21st<br />
Century, the major users, who will<br />
increasingly be the drivers of the<br />
telecommunications industry, are adjusting<br />
themselves to the new global markets<br />
presented by the new political landscapes<br />
and economies. Fundamental to their<br />
success is their ability to communicate<br />
multi-laterally. The communication services<br />
on which their survival will depend<br />
must be of the highest quality and supported<br />
locally around the globe. These<br />
services will be ever demanding on<br />
bandwidth - the availability of which will<br />
further transform the way those companies<br />
operate.<br />
Within Sprint during the eighties we<br />
developed in the USA a highly sophisticated<br />
long distance trunk network, we<br />
had even prior to the availability of that<br />
network, offered to the users the services<br />
of the largest public data network in the<br />
world. Onto these networks we have offered<br />
an increasing array of services<br />
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