PEAK OIL

Recommendations

Info

Figure 2: The Overall Potential of Conventional Oil in 2008 49 Figure 2 - Glossary Erdöl Oil Reserven reserves Ressourcen resources kum. Förderung Aggregate production in Gt in GT Reserven Reserves 159,9 Gt (= 228 Gt SKE) 159.9 GT (= 228 GT CE) Förderung Production 3,9 Gt (= 5,6 Gt SKE) 3.9 GT (= 5.6 GT CE) Source: Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources (BGR) Ultimately, it is hardly possible to calculate from today’s perspective how suppliers and consumers will respond to global peak oil. 50 Against this backdrop, the continuous assessment of diversification opportunities seems equally necessary and difficult, particularly with regard to the ousting or competition effects with other oil-importing countries that such efforts would bring about in the face of declining production rates. Generally, an increasing importance of the countries of the Strategic Ellipse for Germany’s oil imports becomes apparent. When shaping its relations with these countries, Germany has several prioritisation options. Chapter 4 deals in more detail with the requirements, potentials and boundaries of 49 For the difference between reserves and resources, see Annex, Frequently Asked Questions #3. 50 The following is another example to emphasise this: In view of the country’s enormous dependence on oil revenues, it is unlikely that Tehran had forsaken correspondingly higher profit margins for rational reasons. Nevertheless, this situation does not necessarily prove the occurrence of national peak oil either, but it can be concluded that cost-intensive production would not have been profitable due to the decrease in reserves. Cf. Martin Schmidt-Bredow, "Peak Oil" oder das Erdölproblem, 2007, http://www.efodon.de/html/archiv/sonstiges/schmidtbredow/peakoil.html (accessed on 11 October 2010) 22
these options. The interests and commitment of other countries that depend on oil imports, in particular fast-growing economies such as modern-day China and India, are also important factors for global oil supply security and Germany’s activities in this connection. 23
Page 1 and 2: Armed Forces, Capabilities and Tech
Page 3: Foreword The Bundeswehr Transformat
Page 6 and 7: Frequent questions #1 What Does Pea
Page 8 and 9: 1. Introduction In this first part
Page 10 and 11: production development of oil field
Page 12 and 13: 2. The Importance of Oil 2.1. Oil a
Page 14 and 15: identifies the maintaining of free
Page 16 and 17: utilizable for small non-state grou
Page 18 and 19: and, in turn, on the respective pro
Page 20 and 21: Note: Producer countries as well as
Page 24 and 25: 3. Possible Developments after Glob
Page 26 and 27: demanded resource and (2) by succes
Page 28 and 29: Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) bo
Page 30 and 31: diplomacy and the provision of attr
Page 32 and 33: y bilateral agreements, the intensi
Page 34 and 35: 3.1.2 Changed Distribution of Roles
Page 36 and 37: Figure 4: Variance in the Relation
Page 38 and 39: its fundamental philosophy. 94 As a
Page 40 and 41: 3.1.3 Exploration of Further and Al
Page 42 and 43: Natural gas as an extension of the
Page 44 and 45: With an increasing transfer of nucl
Page 46 and 47: Figure 5: International Land Leases
Page 48 and 49: area, adapting it optimally to the
Page 50 and 51: Food sector uncertainties If nothin
Page 52 and 53: Upheaval in economic structures Sin
Page 54 and 55: marketing and using motor vehicles
Page 56 and 57: 3.2 The Systemic Risk of Exceeding
Page 58 and 59: In the medium term, the global econ
Page 60 and 61: cases, to a collapse. The danger of
Page 62 and 63: Conflicts can arise when the global
Page 64 and 65: constellations, which would be visi
Page 66 and 67: Germany could achieve further diver
Page 68 and 69: 4.2 Shaping Supply Relationships wi
Page 70 and 71: term strategy for the development o
Page 72 and 73:
Since conventional oil resources ar
Page 74 and 75:
uncertainty of future defence budge
Page 76 and 77:
4.4 Potential for Conflict and Coop
Page 78 and 79:
total number of deployed armed forc
Page 80 and 81:
4.5. The Proliferation of Nuclear T
Page 82 and 83:
Further issues / need for research:
Page 84 and 85:
Non-state actors could also increas
Page 86 and 87:
Concentrating energy relations in l
Page 88 and 89:
which is connected with mobility an
Page 90 and 91:
Further issues / need for research:
Page 92 and 93:
The development of an external ener
Page 94 and 95:
Frequent questions #1 What Does Pea
Page 96 and 97:
and that there will therefore be no
Page 98 and 99:
#2 How Do Critics Argue against Pea
Page 100 and 101:
Table 2: Predictions regarding deve
Page 102 and 103:
#3 What Types of Resources are ther
Page 104 and 105:
#4 What is the Difference between C
Page 106 and 107:
#6 How Do Oil Refineries Work? The
Page 108 and 109:
#8 Are there Ways for the Bundesweh
Page 110 and 111:
110
Page 112:
Further Peak Oil Task Force Reports
show all

PEAK OIL

Create successful ePaper yourself

Delete template?

Save as template?