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Urban Poverty & Climate Change in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania:

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Flood Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

128<br />

Annex 5<br />

A flood model<strong>in</strong>g exercise was undertaken by Ardhi University to map potential chang<strong>es</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> ra<strong>in</strong>fall regime and sea level rise on the flood extent and depth <strong>in</strong> the at-risk areas that<br />

were covered <strong>in</strong> the socio-economic surveys. A comb<strong>in</strong>ed 1D-2D hydrodynamic model<br />

known as SOBEK was used (developed by Delft Hydraulics Software). The flood<br />

propagation model required spatial data (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g a digital elevation model (DEM) and<br />

surface roughn<strong>es</strong>s <strong>es</strong>timat<strong>es</strong>) and temporal data (such as <strong>in</strong>itial water level, and<br />

downstream and upstream boundary conditions).<br />

Digital Elevation Model (DEM)<br />

Aster Digital Elevation model (DEM) with 30m r<strong>es</strong>olution was used <strong>in</strong> this study and the<br />

30m grid size was r<strong>es</strong>ampled to 15m. The DEM was then converted to standard Arc Info<br />

ASCII (.asc) format, required by SOBEK.<br />

Surface Roughn<strong>es</strong>s<br />

Surface roughn<strong>es</strong>s is another important spatial data parameter, <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g r<strong>es</strong>istance to the<br />

flow of water on a floodpla<strong>in</strong>. The surface roughn<strong>es</strong>s map was derived from a land-use<br />

map and was generated at the same r<strong>es</strong>olution as the DEM to ensure that for each cell,<br />

both elevation <strong>in</strong>formation and roughn<strong>es</strong>s valu<strong>es</strong> were available (Alkema et al., 2007).<br />

Initial and boundary conditions<br />

The <strong>in</strong>itial condition d<strong>es</strong>crib<strong>es</strong> the <strong>in</strong>itial state of the system, <strong>in</strong> this case water levels and<br />

flux<strong>es</strong> at the start of the computation. In this study the r<strong>es</strong>tart file was used to def<strong>in</strong>e<br />

<strong>in</strong>itial condition of the model. The r<strong>es</strong>tart file was created by runn<strong>in</strong>g the model start<strong>in</strong>g<br />

with dry conditions until the hydraulically stable start<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t of simulation was reached<br />

(Alkema et al., 2007).<br />

Boundary conditions for flood model were applied to def<strong>in</strong>e the <strong>in</strong>flow and outflow<br />

elements of the model doma<strong>in</strong>. In this study, there were a number of upper boundary<br />

conditions <strong>in</strong> which discharge data was used and one downstream boundary where a<br />

constant water level was used.<br />

Model schematization<br />

Schematization <strong>in</strong>volved add<strong>in</strong>g the flood model components us<strong>in</strong>g a network editor<br />

known as NETTER available <strong>in</strong> SOBEK. The model components added <strong>in</strong>clude: river<br />

cross-section, flow calculation po<strong>in</strong>ts, 1D boundary nod<strong>es</strong> (upstream and downstream),<br />

1D-2D-<strong>in</strong>ternal boundary node, connection nod<strong>es</strong>, measurement stations, and hydraulic<br />

structur<strong>es</strong> (bridg<strong>es</strong>). NETTER offers a way to assign attribute valu<strong>es</strong> for various added<br />

nod<strong>es</strong>. The schematization starts by import<strong>in</strong>g the 2D network, which repr<strong>es</strong>ents the<br />

terra<strong>in</strong> elevation <strong>in</strong> ASCII data format. For quick ass<strong>es</strong>sment of the model performance,<br />

history boundari<strong>es</strong> (where water depth, and water velocity are recorded for a specific<br />

pixel) were placed for selected areas. A 1D flow was repr<strong>es</strong>ented by a seri<strong>es</strong> of crosssections<br />

perpendicular to the direction of the river flow. The river is def<strong>in</strong>ed by reach<strong>es</strong>

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