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128 Recidivism in Australia: findings and future research (continued) Selected recidivism research 1995–2006 Publication year Title Key recidivism findings Comments Author Recidivism was defined in terms of reconviction as recorded by the NSW Children’s Court. The study noted complications with small sample sizes and short observation periods. This study examined the reoffending patterns of young people in NSW and compared the differences in reconviction between juveniles who attended conferencing with those who did not. The follow-up period ranged from 27–39 months. The study used survival analysis to measure the probabilities of reconviction and showed that: Luke G & Lind B 2002 Reducing juvenile crime: conferencing versus court • the probability of reconviction within two years of appearing in court in 1997 was 0.38: that is, 38% of juveniles will have been reconvicted within two years • the difference in reconviction between those who attended court and those who attended a juvenile justice conference was statistically significant. Those attending the conference were less likely to be reconvicted, although the difference was small.
(continued) Selected recidivism research 1995–2006 Publication year Title Key recidivism findings Comments Author Police apprehension reports may include multiple offences and not include other diversionary options such as police cautioning. Exploratory analysis revealed that the 12 month apprehension result was higher for males and Indigenous offenders. This South Australian study looked at the extent of juvenile contact with the police. Using police apprehension reports from the year 2000 the analysis found that: • 5,352 young people aged between 10 and 17 accounted for 8,992 apprehensions • 70% of these young people were apprehended on just one occasions with 12 months • 15% were apprehended twice, 7% three times and 8% four or more times in 12 months. Police apprehension reports may include multiple offences so analysis was also undertaken to determine the total number of alleged offences recorded by these young people in 2000: • 48% of the young people had only one alleged offence in 12 months • 21% had two alleged offences, 11% had three and the remaining 20% had four or more alleged offences. Doherty J 2002 Repeat contact with the juvenile justice system: apprehensions by police Appendix A 129
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