Recidivism in Australia : findings and future research - Australian ...
Recidivism in Australia : findings and future research - Australian ...
Recidivism in Australia : findings and future research - Australian ...
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Figure 2: Nested police data<br />
Underestimat<strong>in</strong>g offend<strong>in</strong>g<br />
The one obvious reason that police data may underestimate actual offend<strong>in</strong>g is that an offence<br />
is only recorded by the police if it comes to their attention <strong>and</strong> results <strong>in</strong> an apprehension (either<br />
as a result of a victim report or where the police are witnesses to the offence themselves).<br />
Therefore, police data generally underestimate an offender’s crim<strong>in</strong>al behaviour because<br />
undetected offences committed by that offender will never be identified. In addition, there<br />
are a variety of offences <strong>and</strong> situations <strong>in</strong> which the police do not formally record an event,<br />
even if an offence is identified by them. In the case of trivial offend<strong>in</strong>g, for example, they may<br />
choose to ignore the behaviour. Or, if they do choose to proceed, there may be other options<br />
available which do not <strong>in</strong>volve a formal apprehension. These may <strong>in</strong>clude:<br />
•<br />
•<br />
•<br />
OFFENCE<br />
Assault<br />
V<strong>and</strong>alism<br />
Assault<br />
Steal<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Steal MV<br />
Speed<strong>in</strong>g<br />
OFFENDING<br />
EPISODE<br />
Altercation<br />
at local<br />
pub<br />
Break <strong>and</strong><br />
enter<br />
Traffic<br />
DETECTION/<br />
APPREHENSION<br />
Detected<br />
at time of<br />
break <strong>and</strong><br />
enter, but<br />
dealt with<br />
for earlier<br />
assault<br />
offences<br />
Detected<br />
for traffic<br />
offence<br />
Key elements of recidivism<br />
ARREST<br />
Police<br />
arrest<br />
offender<br />
Police<br />
arrest<br />
offender<br />
CHARGES<br />
LAID<br />
Assault<br />
Steal MV<br />
Speed<strong>in</strong>g<br />
offences that result <strong>in</strong> official diversion away from the crim<strong>in</strong>al justice system –<br />
such as through police drug diversion<br />
offences that result <strong>in</strong> the imposition of an <strong>in</strong>fr<strong>in</strong>gement notice – such as traffic<br />
offences <strong>and</strong> some drug offences<br />
offences that result <strong>in</strong> other forms of process<strong>in</strong>g by police such as an <strong>in</strong>formal caution<br />
or warn<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
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