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The North Seas Countries' Offshore Grid Initiative - Initial ... - Benelux

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Figure 7-2 High level Process overview<br />

A 1.1 Market Modelling I -a) Adequacy<br />

<strong>The</strong> Security of Supply in the Region will be a function of the available generation<br />

capacities and the demand profiles: there should always be enough generation resources<br />

to cover the demand with a sufficient degree of certainty. <strong>The</strong>refore, as a first step in the<br />

overall process, the generation adequacy of the provided NSCOGI Reference Scenario was<br />

assessed, with the goal of having the possibility to increase the generation capacities in<br />

case of shortages.<br />

As a start a simplified shallow adequacy assessment method was used, by checking the<br />

reserve margins in each individual country as well as the margin for the entire NSCOGI<br />

Region. <strong>The</strong> reserve margin is defined as the ratio between installed capacity and annual<br />

peak load. Sufficient reserves are necessary in a system to cope with for instance<br />

unforeseen outages and maintenance of generating units.<br />

It should be noted that reserve margin can only be used as a preliminary indicator. Final<br />

adequacy judgements should be done with detailed models.<br />

Page7-4

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