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Williams-Climate-change-refugia-for-terrestrial-biodiversity_0

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RESULTS AND OUTPUTS<br />

Figures 8 and 9 show the mapped distribution of ETa in 2085 <strong>for</strong> the high impact RCP<br />

8.5, <strong>for</strong> two GCMs, Miroc-H (Hasumi and Emori 2004), representing a wet future, and<br />

GFDL-ESM2, (Delworth et al 2006; Gnanadesikan et al, 2006, Wittenberg et al 2006)<br />

representing a dryer future. Notably the algorithm predicts little absolute <strong>change</strong> in total<br />

annual ETa, although spatial distribution varies. It is apparent that many of the<br />

topographic features of Figure 1 are preserved, although there is variation in their<br />

expression between climate futures.<br />

Figure A5-8: Projected ETa <strong>for</strong> the “wet” GCM Miroc-h, <strong>for</strong> 2085, RCP8.5. The map<br />

uses the same scale as Figure 1.<br />

Figures 10 and 11 show magnified areas , <strong>for</strong> the Channel Country and Western<br />

Tasmania <strong>for</strong> the GFDL-ESM2 RCP8.5 climate future, highlighting the topographic<br />

resolution of the projected data.<br />

158 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> <strong>refugia</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>terrestrial</strong> <strong>biodiversity</strong>

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