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Conference Sessions - Jesse H. Jones Graduate School of ...

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2 - A Machine Learning Approach to Analyzing Multi-attribute Data: The<br />

OrdEval Algorithm<br />

Sandra Streukens, Hasselt University, Agoralaan-Building D,<br />

BE-3590, Diepenbeek, Belgium, sandra.streukens@uhasselt.be, Koen<br />

Vanho<strong>of</strong>, Marko Robnik-Sikonja<br />

Typically, multi-attribute data are analyzed using a multiple regression approach. This<br />

imposes restrictions that may conflict with current marketing theory. First, the<br />

appropriate functional form in terms <strong>of</strong> possible nonlinearity needs to be specified in<br />

advance. A challenging task as the literature shows disagrees about the optimal<br />

functional form <strong>of</strong> the relationships among attribute perceptions and higher order<br />

evaluations. Second, several properties cannot be adequately modeled by this class <strong>of</strong><br />

techniques. For instance, several models (e.g. Herzberg’s (1966) dual-factor theory)<br />

have been put forward in which a flat relationship between attribute performance<br />

and global judgments is hypothesized for some part <strong>of</strong> the attribute performance<br />

range. Third, multiple linear regression models implicitly assume symmetric<br />

relationships, meaning that the consequences on the outcome variable <strong>of</strong> positive<br />

(e.g. increase in performance from 3 to 5) and negative (e.g. decrease in performance<br />

from 5 to 3) performance changes are equal. Research by, for example, Boulding et<br />

al. (1993) demonstrates that this assumption may not reflect reality. These drawbacks<br />

underscore the need for alternative analysis methods that <strong>of</strong>fer enhanced possibilities<br />

and flexibility in modeling functional forms that have been put forward in recent<br />

studies. Therefore, the aim <strong>of</strong> this research is to develop and demonstrate an<br />

approach (i.e. the OrdEval algorithm) based on machine learning principles for<br />

analyzing multi-attribute models that does not require an<br />

a-priori specification <strong>of</strong> the functional form in terms <strong>of</strong> possible nonlinearity, is<br />

capable <strong>of</strong> adequately capturing a wider set <strong>of</strong> functional forms, and implicitly takes<br />

asymmetry into account.<br />

3 - Voice Analysis for Measuring Consumer Preferences<br />

Hye-jin Kim, Pennsylvania State University, 421A Business Building,<br />

University Park, PA, 16802, United States <strong>of</strong> America,<br />

hxk262@psu.edu, Min Ding<br />

Marketing research methods, such as conjoint analysis and customer satisfaction,<br />

usually collect consumer responses in text formats (choice, rating, ranking, etc.). The<br />

estimation, in turn, tend to focus on the response itself (which is one-dimensional)<br />

and <strong>of</strong>ten fail to recognize that the response sometimes may not be reflecting what a<br />

subject really thinks. For example, the subject may experience confusion during the<br />

task or give socially desirable answers, which is not possible to identify using text<br />

based response data. Alternatively, marketers have adopted physiological or<br />

neurological measurements (e.g., fMRI) to gain deeper insights into consumers’ true<br />

preferences. However, these methods use expensive equipment and require the<br />

subject to be present in a lab environment. To retrieve richer information from the<br />

respondent while bearing reasonable cost on the marketer and less restriction on the<br />

respondent, we introduce a method <strong>of</strong> using the consumer’s voice to measure<br />

emotional and cognitive constructs such as excitement, engagement, and uncertainty,<br />

which in turn will be used to supplement responses to allow researchers and<br />

practitioners to obtain more accurate insights. While using the human voice for<br />

emotion recognition purposes has been prevalent in other fields such as computer<br />

science, its use in marketing has been negligible. We conduct an empirical study to<br />

test the validity and implementability <strong>of</strong> this method. The results and implications for<br />

marketers and academic researchers are discussed.<br />

4 - Estimating Nonresponse Bias in Survey Data<br />

Songting Dong, Lecturer, Australian National University, MMIB,<br />

LF Crisp Bldg 26, Australian National University, Canberra, 0200,<br />

Australia, songting.dong@anu.edu.au, Ujwal Kayande<br />

Detecting nonresponse bias in survey data is important for determining the<br />

representativeness <strong>of</strong> the sample, which can in turn affect the validity <strong>of</strong> the survey<br />

findings. Extant methods focus on detecting whether the mean <strong>of</strong> a variable might be<br />

different for non-respondents relative to those who did respond. Yet, most surveys<br />

used in academic research are not for estimating variable means, but for estimating<br />

the relationship between variables. Therefore, we propose methods that may be able<br />

to detect non-response bias not only in variable means, but also in the variancecovariance<br />

matrix <strong>of</strong> variables. We use simulations to compare the performance <strong>of</strong><br />

the methods. We find that the efficacy <strong>of</strong> the methods in detecting bias varies,<br />

particularly in terms <strong>of</strong> the propensity for false negatives and false positives. We<br />

propose a set <strong>of</strong> guidelines to use when conducting surveys so that researchers are<br />

aware <strong>of</strong> the possibility <strong>of</strong> non-response bias in the magnitude <strong>of</strong> the relationship<br />

between variables.<br />

MARKETING SCIENCE CONFERENCE – 2011 FD11<br />

67<br />

■ FD11<br />

Champions Center I<br />

Sports and Fashion<br />

Contributed Session<br />

Chair: Hema Yoganarasimhan, <strong>Graduate</strong> <strong>School</strong> <strong>of</strong> Management, UC Davis,<br />

3204 Gallagher Hall, Davis, 95616, United States <strong>of</strong> America,<br />

hyoganarasimhan@ucdavis.edu<br />

1 - An Empirical Investigation <strong>of</strong> Sports Sponsorship<br />

Yupin Yang, Assistant Pr<strong>of</strong>essor, Simon Fraser University,<br />

8888 University Drive, Burnaby, BC, V5A 1S6, Canada,<br />

yupin_yang@sfu.ca, Avi Goldfarb<br />

The sponsorship <strong>of</strong> sports, arts, culture, and charity events has become a popular<br />

promotional tool for organizations <strong>of</strong> all sizes and across many industry sectors.<br />

According to the International Events Group Report, global sponsorship expenditures<br />

reached $44 billion in 2009, with the majority <strong>of</strong> corporate sponsorships being sportsrelated.<br />

Although sports sponsorship is a marketing strategy involving a large<br />

economy, relatively little is known about how sponsors and sponsored organizations<br />

address the challenge <strong>of</strong> evaluating the fitness <strong>of</strong> partners or how they leverage their<br />

strengths in the negotiation process. Research on the formation and departure <strong>of</strong><br />

sponsorships remains scant in the marketing literature. In this research, we<br />

empirically investigate the formation, renewal, and departure <strong>of</strong> sponsorships in<br />

order to shed light on the decision processes involved. Since sponsorships involve the<br />

mutual agreement <strong>of</strong> two partners (the sponsoring company and the sponsored<br />

organization), the proposed research will use a two-sided matching model to analyze<br />

a unique dataset—the shirt sponsorships <strong>of</strong> English Football Leagues. In the<br />

sponsorship literature, researchers use either a case study approach or else work with<br />

data from surveys or experiments. The research is the first empirical work to use<br />

historical data to study the phenomenon <strong>of</strong> sports sponsorship. Thus, it has the<br />

potential to make an important contribution to the literature. In addition, it is<br />

expected to be <strong>of</strong> significant interest to industry practitioners (sports teams, sports<br />

leagues, sponsoring companies) as well as policy makers.<br />

2 - The Consumption <strong>of</strong> Live Sporting Events: Satisfaction <strong>of</strong> Very<br />

Important Fans<br />

Dennis Ahrholdt, University <strong>of</strong> Hamburg - Institute for Operations<br />

Reserach, Von-Melle-Park 5, Hamburg, Germany,<br />

Dennis.Ahrholdt@uni-hamburg.de, Claudia Höck, Christian Ringle<br />

Sporting events are an international multi-billion dollar business and economic<br />

aspects have a greater than ever influence on the activities <strong>of</strong> sports clubs, since<br />

competition is no longer restricted to the sports field, but extends into the<br />

competition for revenues from selling broadcasting and sponsoring rights, tickets, and<br />

merchandise. Hence, the orientation towards the customer (the visitor), who<br />

consumes the product “live sports event”, plays a central role. Creating favorable<br />

experiences for fans and thereby fan satisfaction represent a key success factor for<br />

sports organizations. Particularly customers <strong>of</strong> business seats and VIP boxes are<br />

important, because revenue is mainly driven by those “very important fans” (VIFs).<br />

In addition to revenues from VIFs through ticket sales and catering, VIFs positively<br />

influence the image <strong>of</strong> a sports club which in turn has a positive effect on revenues<br />

from merchandising and sponsoring rights. Moreover, VIFs are <strong>of</strong>ten sponsors or<br />

potential sponsors themselves. For these key reasons, VIF satisfaction is fundamental<br />

for any sports club’s long-term financial success and, as a consequence, clubs, as<br />

sports businesses, must manage VIF satisfaction proactively by paying increasing<br />

attention to the range and quality <strong>of</strong> the services they <strong>of</strong>fer. An instrument for<br />

measuring VIF satisfaction is developed innovatively with this research. Structural<br />

equations modeling allows us to empirically test the instrument for VIFs from a major<br />

German soccer club. The partial least squares path modeling analysis reveals deeper<br />

insights <strong>of</strong> VIFs’ overall satisfaction and its key drivers. Thereby, the instrument<br />

identifies and points towards key areas that require managerial attention to maintain<br />

and further improve VIFs’ overall satisfaction.<br />

3 - Testing Firms’ Conditional Differentiation Behaviour: Quantitative<br />

Evidence in Fashion Advertising<br />

Kitty Wang, Rotman <strong>School</strong> <strong>of</strong> Management,<br />

University <strong>of</strong> Toronto, 105 St. George Street, Toronto, Canada,<br />

kitty.wang@rotman.utoronto.ca<br />

In this paper, I study strategic interactions between firms in their advertising decisionmaking<br />

process. I expand on existing literature by incorporating advertising content<br />

into a structural discrete game model; this approach allows for an empirical<br />

examination <strong>of</strong> competitive advertising along multiple dimensions. I construct a novel<br />

dataset <strong>of</strong> print advertising in leading US fashion magazines for a five-year span. For<br />

each advertisement, it contains information on brands, products, and various other<br />

characteristics <strong>of</strong> the advertisement. Building on the static discrete entry game<br />

framework, I propose a two-stage model to capture the impact that rival firms’<br />

(expected) actions have on own firm’s strategy in terms <strong>of</strong> when and what to<br />

advertise. The two-stage model allows firms to construct expectations based on what<br />

they learn through rival firms’ past strategies. It also replaces the commonly used<br />

rational expectation assumption with a more general structure for the information<br />

set. While previous studies focus on advertising quantity, I find that firms strategically<br />

coordinate or differentiate from their rivals’ (expected) actions in terms <strong>of</strong> timing,<br />

location, and content. Furthermore, there appears to be no dominant strategy along<br />

all dimensions – firms’ actions depend crucially on firm characteristics, the product<br />

category, as well as other advertising content.

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