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Gasoline Price Changes - Federal Trade Commission

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THE DYNAMIC OF SUPPLY, DEMAND, AND COMPETITION<br />

limited number of refineries outside of California that make CARB gasoline and California’s<br />

isolation from major pipelines connected with other major refinery centers reduce sources of<br />

substitute gasoline. Indeed, if California had better pipeline connections to the Gulf or other<br />

areas with large refining capacity, more refiners outside of California might have greater<br />

incentives to make CARB gasoline or blending components suitable for CARB gasoline.<br />

b. Relatively limited access to pipelines may contribute to higher<br />

annual average real retail gasoline prices in the Rocky Mountain<br />

states and the West Coast.<br />

Although environmental requirements are important on the West Coast, the same trend<br />

toward higher average prices appears in the Rocky Mountain states, where environmental<br />

requirements are less restrictive. This suggests there are other possible sources of higher average<br />

prices.<br />

The Rocky Mountain states also have relatively limited access to pipeline connections to<br />

supply substitute gasoline in the event of a shortage. By contrast, the East Coast and the<br />

Midwest are much better connected to pipelines that can supply substitutable gasoline in the<br />

event of a shortage. These differences may contribute to the price differences shown in Table 4-<br />

1. For the Rocky Mountain states, price differences may diminish if pipeline projects come to<br />

fruition and pipeline connections are increased. Other factors, however, may have also<br />

contributed to higher average prices in both the Rocky Mountain states and the West Coast.<br />

D. Boutique Fuels and Differential Access to <strong>Gasoline</strong> Supplies Can Contribute<br />

to <strong>Gasoline</strong> <strong>Price</strong> Variability in Particular Circumstances.<br />

One issue of concern to consumers is the extent to which gasoline prices seem to have<br />

become more variable. See Box 4-3 discussing how to measure price variability. Consumers in<br />

some regions – especially the West Coast – perceive more price variability than in the past.<br />

There are at least two possible explanations for price variability. First, the large number<br />

of different boutique fuel requirements throughout the country may have caused greater price<br />

variability because they cannot use conventional gasoline as a substitute for supply. Boutique<br />

fuels include various types of RFG, less volatile summer gasoline, 67 ultra-low-sulfur gasoline<br />

(such as the low-sulfur gasoline currently used in Atlanta, GA), winter-oxygenated gasoline, and<br />

gasoline mandated by CARB.<br />

CHAPTER 4: THE REGIONAL LEVEL 91

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