RUSSIA'S TINDERBOX - Belfer Center for Science and International ...
RUSSIA'S TINDERBOX - Belfer Center for Science and International ...
RUSSIA'S TINDERBOX - Belfer Center for Science and International ...
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group of high-level Soviet functionaries who were opposed to the devolution of power, Yeltsin’s<br />
proposal did not succeed in stabilizing the Russian Federation.<br />
Tatarstan <strong>and</strong> Chechnya abstained from signing the Federal Treaty in March 1992, <strong>and</strong> a<br />
number of the actual signatories, such as Yakutia <strong>and</strong> Bashkortorstan, made official declarations of<br />
serious reservations. Russia’s oblasts also immediately protested what they perceived as special<br />
privileges accorded to the national republics in the treaty <strong>and</strong> dem<strong>and</strong>ed equal rights.<br />
The Dilemma of Post-Soviet Structural Re<strong>for</strong>m:<br />
The protests of the oblasts highlighted the fundamental dilemma of post-Soviet structural<br />
re<strong>for</strong>m in the Russian Federation:<br />
• should the ethno-territorial principle be retained with its asymmetry <strong>and</strong> special privileges<br />
given to the republics?<br />
• or should the Federation be based on self-administering units organized according to<br />
territorial size <strong>and</strong> economic principles, along the lines of the states of the USA <strong>and</strong> the<br />
German L<strong>and</strong>s?<br />
• or should the Federation be abolished altogether <strong>and</strong> a unitary, centralized state be created,<br />
with only limited administrative devolution to units akin to the old Tsarist gubernias?<br />
There is presently no consensus in Moscow on this issue <strong>and</strong> Russia’s politicians vacillate<br />
between the three positions. 25 Retaining the current structure dem<strong>and</strong>s its rationalization, <strong>and</strong> a<br />
coherent strategy <strong>for</strong> the devolution of an appropriate degree of power to the Federation’s non-<br />
Russian ethnic groups. It is opposed by many Russian political leaders <strong>and</strong> oblasts. The territorialadministrative<br />
principle, on the other h<strong>and</strong>, while facilitating the functions of the central<br />
government, implies a radical departure from the status quo <strong>and</strong> is strongly opposed by the national<br />
republics. The third option suggests an end to democratization <strong>and</strong> a return to the over-centralization<br />
of functions in the Soviet period. While the latter is favored by officials of the central government in<br />
Moscow <strong>and</strong> businessmen seeking a uni<strong>for</strong>m legal framework <strong>for</strong> country-wide operations, 26 it is<br />
opposed by all the constituent units of the federation.<br />
The difficulties of reaching a consensus on the direction of structural re<strong>for</strong>m are<br />
compounded by the necessity of creating a post-Soviet political system <strong>for</strong> the Russian Federation.<br />
25 For the most recent in-depth discussion <strong>and</strong> illustration of this dilemma see Rafael Khakimov, “Russia <strong>and</strong> the<br />
Process of Federalization,” <strong>and</strong> “Appeal to President Boris Yeltsin from President M. Shaimiev, Tatarstan,<br />
President M. Rakhimov, Bashkortorstan <strong>and</strong> President M. Nikolaev, Sakha (Yakutia): For a Consistent Policy to<br />
Democratize <strong>and</strong> Federalize Russia,” in Bulletin of the Ethnic Conflict Management in the Former Soviet Union<br />
Network on Ethnological Monitoring <strong>and</strong> Early Warning of Conflict, Special Section, pp. 10-16, Conflict<br />
Management Group June 1995 (hereafter CMG Bulletin).<br />
26 This in<strong>for</strong>mation was obtained in interviews with Russian businessmen conducted by the SDI Project in June<br />
1994.<br />
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