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Motherhood in Childhood

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effect could have added $3.4 billion to Kenya’s<br />

gross <strong>in</strong>come every year. This is equivalent to<br />

the entire Kenyan construction sector. Similarly,<br />

Brazil would have greater productivity equal to<br />

more than $3.5 billion if teenage girls delayed<br />

pregnancy until their early twenties, while India’s<br />

productivity would be $7.7 billion higher.<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce most adolescent pregnancies occur at a<br />

time when girls are of secondary-school age, dropp<strong>in</strong>g<br />

out of secondary school results <strong>in</strong> higher costs<br />

to the economy than dropp<strong>in</strong>g out of primary<br />

school. Because the number of affected girls is<br />

much greater among secondary school populations<br />

than among primary school populations,<br />

the negative impact on returns on <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

<strong>in</strong> secondary education is much higher than the<br />

negative impact on primary school education.<br />

The World Bank study states that this analysis<br />

underestimates the true cost of not <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

girls. The costs computed are only economic<br />

ones and should be seen as lower than the true<br />

social costs. The study looks only at lost productivity<br />

<strong>in</strong> the labour market and thus does not<br />

estimate costs <strong>in</strong>curred to women’s health, the<br />

possible implications for the child’s future productivity<br />

as <strong>in</strong>dicated by studies that show that<br />

children of adolescent mothers have lower school<br />

atta<strong>in</strong>ment rates, and the social costs of unwed<br />

adolescent mothers.<br />

The true costs, which <strong>in</strong>clude lower health<br />

status of the children of these girls, lower life<br />

expectancy, skill obsolescence of jobless girls, less<br />

social empowerment, and so forth would <strong>in</strong>crease<br />

the cost estimates many-fold (Cunn<strong>in</strong>gham<br />

et al., 2008).<br />

When policy failures or other pressures on<br />

adolescent girls result <strong>in</strong> large numbers of pregnancies,<br />

the economic costs may extend beyond<br />

the <strong>in</strong>dividual to the community and the nation.<br />

LIFETIME COST OF ADOLESCENT PREGNANCY<br />

OF THE CURRENT COHORT OF GIRLS 15 TO 19<br />

YEARS OLD, AS SHARE OF ANNUAL GDP<br />

USA<br />

Norway<br />

Sweden<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a<br />

United K<strong>in</strong>gdom<br />

Brazil<br />

Bangladesh<br />

Paraguay<br />

India<br />

Ethiopia<br />

Kenya<br />

Tanzania<br />

Nigeria<br />

Malawi<br />

Uganda<br />

Source: Chaaban and Cunn<strong>in</strong>gham, 2011.<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

Some costs may arise, for example, through<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased demand on already overstretched<br />

health care systems for the management of<br />

complications from unsafe abortions to adolescents.<br />

Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the International Sexual<br />

and Reproductive Rights Coalition (2002), “In<br />

many develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, hospital records<br />

0<br />

10<br />

11<br />

12<br />

12<br />

5<br />

15<br />

10<br />

17<br />

18<br />

15<br />

20<br />

26<br />

27<br />

25<br />

30<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35<br />

Lifetime Cost % of GDP<br />

30<br />

35<br />

THE STATE OF WORLD POPULATION 2013<br />

27

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