Motherhood in Childhood
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effect could have added $3.4 billion to Kenya’s<br />
gross <strong>in</strong>come every year. This is equivalent to<br />
the entire Kenyan construction sector. Similarly,<br />
Brazil would have greater productivity equal to<br />
more than $3.5 billion if teenage girls delayed<br />
pregnancy until their early twenties, while India’s<br />
productivity would be $7.7 billion higher.<br />
S<strong>in</strong>ce most adolescent pregnancies occur at a<br />
time when girls are of secondary-school age, dropp<strong>in</strong>g<br />
out of secondary school results <strong>in</strong> higher costs<br />
to the economy than dropp<strong>in</strong>g out of primary<br />
school. Because the number of affected girls is<br />
much greater among secondary school populations<br />
than among primary school populations,<br />
the negative impact on returns on <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />
<strong>in</strong> secondary education is much higher than the<br />
negative impact on primary school education.<br />
The World Bank study states that this analysis<br />
underestimates the true cost of not <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />
girls. The costs computed are only economic<br />
ones and should be seen as lower than the true<br />
social costs. The study looks only at lost productivity<br />
<strong>in</strong> the labour market and thus does not<br />
estimate costs <strong>in</strong>curred to women’s health, the<br />
possible implications for the child’s future productivity<br />
as <strong>in</strong>dicated by studies that show that<br />
children of adolescent mothers have lower school<br />
atta<strong>in</strong>ment rates, and the social costs of unwed<br />
adolescent mothers.<br />
The true costs, which <strong>in</strong>clude lower health<br />
status of the children of these girls, lower life<br />
expectancy, skill obsolescence of jobless girls, less<br />
social empowerment, and so forth would <strong>in</strong>crease<br />
the cost estimates many-fold (Cunn<strong>in</strong>gham<br />
et al., 2008).<br />
When policy failures or other pressures on<br />
adolescent girls result <strong>in</strong> large numbers of pregnancies,<br />
the economic costs may extend beyond<br />
the <strong>in</strong>dividual to the community and the nation.<br />
LIFETIME COST OF ADOLESCENT PREGNANCY<br />
OF THE CURRENT COHORT OF GIRLS 15 TO 19<br />
YEARS OLD, AS SHARE OF ANNUAL GDP<br />
USA<br />
Norway<br />
Sweden<br />
Ch<strong>in</strong>a<br />
United K<strong>in</strong>gdom<br />
Brazil<br />
Bangladesh<br />
Paraguay<br />
India<br />
Ethiopia<br />
Kenya<br />
Tanzania<br />
Nigeria<br />
Malawi<br />
Uganda<br />
Source: Chaaban and Cunn<strong>in</strong>gham, 2011.<br />
1<br />
1<br />
1<br />
1<br />
2<br />
Some costs may arise, for example, through<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased demand on already overstretched<br />
health care systems for the management of<br />
complications from unsafe abortions to adolescents.<br />
Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the International Sexual<br />
and Reproductive Rights Coalition (2002), “In<br />
many develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, hospital records<br />
0<br />
10<br />
11<br />
12<br />
12<br />
5<br />
15<br />
10<br />
17<br />
18<br />
15<br />
20<br />
26<br />
27<br />
25<br />
30<br />
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35<br />
Lifetime Cost % of GDP<br />
30<br />
35<br />
THE STATE OF WORLD POPULATION 2013<br />
27