austin-murphy-the-triumph-of-evil
austin-murphy-the-triumph-of-evil
austin-murphy-the-triumph-of-evil
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
206 THE TRIUMPH OF EVIL<br />
encourage <strong>the</strong> consumption <strong>of</strong> East German products by East Germans,<br />
each East German citizen would be paid a fixed amount each month<br />
into special KM checking accounts. These checks could be written to<br />
cover 90% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> specified subsistence goods such as food,<br />
children's clothing, day care, monthly mass transportation tickets, cul<br />
tural events, and housing. The annual amount paid into each person's<br />
KM account would be set to equal <strong>the</strong> per capita amount <strong>of</strong> subsidies<br />
paid out by <strong>the</strong> East German government in 1989, which approximated<br />
<strong>the</strong> M70 billion/16.4 million people=M4268 in per capita subsidies<br />
reported to be paid in 1988 (<strong>the</strong> M70 billion in subsidies would coo<br />
ti ? ue to be financed by higher prices for nonessential goods and ser<br />
vtces that are essentially taxed more heavily by <strong>the</strong> government).<br />
Although <strong>the</strong> existence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> additional .KM currency/account/pricing<br />
would create some administrative costs and bureaucratic difficulties,<br />
such problems would probably be far less than those imposed by com<br />
mercial coupons (<strong>of</strong> which <strong>the</strong>re are so many different types in capital<br />
ist societies) and likely even less than with buyers' clubs or cooperatives<br />
which also give a select group <strong>of</strong> people special discounted prices (Fur<br />
lough and Strikwerda, 1999). Because <strong>the</strong> KM coupons could only be<br />
used by East German citizens, <strong>the</strong> subsidies would not be available to<br />
foreigner tourists, whose cheap purchases <strong>of</strong> goods and services in East<br />
Germany in 1987 were effectively subsidized by an estimated M 1.3 bil<br />
li � � (Schwarzer, 1999), and who were in <strong>the</strong> process <strong>of</strong> stealing many<br />
btlhons more in <strong>the</strong> first 2 months <strong>of</strong> 1990 alone after <strong>the</strong> removal<br />
<strong>of</strong> effective border controls (Der Tagesspiege/, 1990i). Thus, <strong>the</strong> plan<br />
allows <strong>the</strong> M price <strong>of</strong> essentials to rise to market-clearing levels while<br />
still permitting limited subsidized purchases fo r domestic residents to<br />
shield East German citizens from <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> one-time inflation.14BY<br />
<strong>the</strong>reby maintaining such advantages <strong>of</strong> living in East Germany (i.e., a<br />
very low and stable cost <strong>of</strong> living), this policy should keep <strong>the</strong> morale <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> East German workers high. As a result, <strong>the</strong>re should be no decline<br />
in productivity, and <strong>the</strong> incentive to emigrate to higher-paying jobs in<br />
West Germany should be reduced. The vast majority <strong>of</strong> East Germans<br />
were very content with <strong>the</strong>ir socialist system, and, only once it became<br />
clear that <strong>the</strong> January 1, 1990 opening to West German exploitation<br />
would destroy <strong>the</strong> system economically, did <strong>the</strong> East Germans decide to<br />
vote with <strong>the</strong>ir feet and ballots for West German capitalism.<br />
CHAPTER 5<br />
207<br />
To provide an example <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> important interaction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se factors,<br />
it can be observed that East German real economic output actually rose<br />
2% in 1989 despite <strong>the</strong> emigration <strong>of</strong> 343,854 East Germans (over 2%<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population) during that time period as travel restrictions were<br />
eliminated (Bertie, 1996). The productivity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> remaining East Ger<br />
mans was so boosted by <strong>the</strong> positive morale effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> opening <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
Berlin Wall that <strong>the</strong> disruptive influence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> movement <strong>of</strong> so many<br />
East German workers was partially <strong>of</strong>fset. In addition, by December<br />
1989 as <strong>the</strong> initial flood <strong>of</strong> emigrations had subsided, daily East German<br />
emigrations had fallen drastically to a much more manageable level <strong>of</strong><br />
one thousand per day, which was significantly less than <strong>the</strong> rate just<br />
before <strong>the</strong> building <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Berlin Wall in 1961 and was similar to that<br />
experienced by East Germany in <strong>the</strong> 1950s (Hertle, 1996) when annual<br />
real growth in National Income averaged over 10% (Statistisches Amt,<br />
1990). East German production first declined significantly in 1990 when<br />
travel restrictions and border checks <strong>of</strong> West Germans were eliminated,<br />
an <strong>of</strong>ficial M3:DM1 exchange rate was established, and West Germans<br />
<strong>the</strong>reby not only received <strong>the</strong> same opportunities for bargain purchases<br />
with M as East Germans but effectively only had to pay 1/3 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir own<br />
DM. Within this environment, daily emigrations doubled (to an annual<br />
rate <strong>of</strong> over 500,000) in early 1990 despite continuing political reforms<br />
and promises <strong>of</strong> a unified economy (Murphy, 1990b ).<br />
. Without <strong>the</strong> proposed plan to maintain East German m _ orale, it is quite<br />
likely that productivity would drop and some disrupttve effects <strong>of</strong> a<br />
Igh level <strong>of</strong> emigrations would occur possibly reducmg G gro<br />
h' ' ·<br />
b<br />
NP wth<br />
' J'gbtl<br />
Y as much as several percent. While such problems would only s 1 Y<br />
reduce <strong>the</strong> very high growth rates possible under <strong>the</strong> narrower aspects<br />
East German incomes to reach West German levels, <strong>the</strong>reby prolongmg<br />
<strong>of</strong> th<br />
e plan, lower growth rates would increase <strong>the</strong> t1me reqUJ<br />
<strong>the</strong> negative effects.<br />
· ·red for<br />
On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand by combining <strong>the</strong> advantages <strong>of</strong> East Ge � an<br />
conununism with th: right to a 1: 1 exchange rate and all <strong>the</strong> postttve<br />
aspects <strong>of</strong> a very rapid economic growth rate (which includes good<br />
em 1<br />
·<br />
·<br />
J'kl 1 that<br />
P oyment opportunities and an optimistic outlook), tt ts 1 . e Y<br />
<strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> net emigrations would have tapered <strong>of</strong>f constderab1� ;<br />
especially as time, confidence foreign investment, and incomes � ew.<br />
Also co n trib<br />
. ' . .<br />
utmg to lower emtgrahons wou e<br />
ld be th allowance m <strong>the</strong><br />
.