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international institutions and <strong>the</strong> world economy are run.<br />

The critics see in some aspects of <strong>the</strong> government’s diplomacy an implicit anti-Americanism. Lula got on<br />

well with George Bush even while disagreeing with many of his policies. Brazil’s relations with <strong>the</strong> United<br />

States are correct, but oddly distant. Lula retains a soft spot for Cuba, perhaps because Fidel Castro<br />

helped him and his party when <strong>the</strong>y were struggling against a military regime which, at its outset at least,<br />

had American backing.<br />

But <strong>the</strong> anti-Americanism comes from some aides more than from <strong>the</strong> president himself. He has promoted<br />

ultranationalists within Itamaraty. He gave responsibility for South America to Marco Aurélio Garcia, <strong>the</strong><br />

foreign-relations guru of his Workers’ Party. This was one of Lula’s many balancing acts, compensating his<br />

left-wing base for its disappointment that he ignored <strong>the</strong>m on economic policy.<br />

Brazil has successfully led <strong>the</strong> UN mission to stabilise Haiti. But in Lula’s first term his advisers seemed to<br />

think <strong>the</strong>y could integrate South America, against <strong>the</strong> United States and from <strong>the</strong> left. Several South<br />

American countries do not share <strong>the</strong>ir anti-Americanism. (One former Lula adviser derides <strong>the</strong>m as “boy<br />

scouts” and as <strong>the</strong> equivalent of <strong>the</strong> collaborationist Vichy regime in wartime France.)<br />

Brazil embraced Hugo Chávez’s Venezuela, inviting it to join <strong>the</strong> Mercosur trade block. The naivety of this<br />

approach became apparent when Bolivia, at Mr Chávez’s urging, nationalised <strong>the</strong> local operations of<br />

Petrobras, Brazil’s state-controlled oil company. In what has been called <strong>the</strong> “diplomacy of generosity”<br />

towards left-wing governments in its smaller neighbours, Brazil agreed to pay more for Bolivian gas. Last<br />

month it similarly agreed to pay Paraguay more for electricity from Itaipu, <strong>the</strong> hydroelectric dam <strong>the</strong>y<br />

share.<br />

By common consent, policy towards South America has become more pragmatic in Lula’s second term. In<br />

particular, Brazil’s relations with Colombia have improved. Brazilian diplomats say privately that <strong>the</strong>ir aim<br />

is to contain and moderate Mr Chávez. But Lula has often seemed to endorse him. Would Brazil ever<br />

criticise Mr Chávez for endangering democracy? “It’s not <strong>the</strong> way we work,” says Mr Amorim. “It’s not by<br />

being a loudspeaker that you change things.” Yet Brazilian officials were not shy about criticising<br />

Colombia’s military agreement with <strong>the</strong> United States.<br />

Their critics argue that Brazil should seek to integrate South America on <strong>the</strong> basis of rules, ra<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

political sympathy, and that by proclaiming regional leadership it risks becoming <strong>the</strong> target of regional<br />

grievance. They also question <strong>the</strong> utility of UNASUL and its first project, a South American Defence<br />

Council. “To defend against what?” asks Mr Cardoso. Brazil’s armed forces did not propose <strong>the</strong> defence<br />

council, nor do <strong>the</strong>y see <strong>the</strong> American presence in Colombia as a threat. “The United States isn’t attacking<br />

Latin America. Chávez threatens, he’s not being threatened,” says Mr Cardoso.<br />

Copyright © 2009 The Economist Newspaper and The Economist Group. All rights reserved.<br />

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