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However, just as some of <strong>the</strong> new leaders may endear <strong>the</strong>mselves to <strong>the</strong> Americans, and even to <strong>the</strong><br />

Israelis, so <strong>the</strong> congress’s firm commitment to a two-state solution of <strong>the</strong> conflict and negotiations as a<br />

way to peace with Israel will fur<strong>the</strong>r underline Fatah’s ideological rift with Hamas. That organisation does<br />

not recognise Israel’s right to exist and favours armed resistance. The two factions are supposed to meet<br />

in Egypt later this month for ano<strong>the</strong>r round of unity talks. Few expect any results. The inclusion of Mr<br />

Dahlan in Fatah’s Central Committee is not likely to help reconciliation. When he ran <strong>the</strong> Preventive<br />

Security Force in Gaza in <strong>the</strong> 1990s, he led a forceful crackdown on Hamas and has been reviled by <strong>the</strong><br />

Islamist organisation ever since.<br />

National elections are set for January 2010. The new Fatah leadership will still face a strong challenge<br />

from Hamas, but even before <strong>the</strong> conference in Bethlehem Fatah had been enjoying a surge in popular<br />

support in <strong>the</strong> West Bank. This was due partly to <strong>the</strong> improved economic situation and also to <strong>the</strong><br />

increased calm on <strong>the</strong> streets, attributed to <strong>the</strong> intensive American training of <strong>the</strong> PA’s security forces.<br />

Israel’s massive onslaught on Hamas-controlled Gaza earlier this year also seems to have validated Mr<br />

Abbas’s more moderate approach. “I like Fatah more now,” said a young man who was selling roast<br />

chicken in <strong>the</strong> market in front of <strong>the</strong> Nativity church in Bethlehem. “There are a lot of scary things going<br />

on in Gaza. Hamas is crazy. Palestine is Fatahland.”<br />

Copyright © 2009 The Economist Newspaper and The Economist Group. All rights reserved.<br />

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