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Assessment, Conservation and Sustainable Use of Forest Biodiversity

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<strong>Assessment</strong>, <strong>Conservation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Forest</strong> <strong>Biodiversity</strong><br />

17<br />

THE STABILITY OF THE FORESTS OF NORTH-WEST REGION OF RUSSIA<br />

UNDER CONDITIONS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE WARMING<br />

Chabounine D.A., Pelevina N.N., Nikolaeva M.A.<br />

Saint-Petersburg <strong>Forest</strong>ry Research Institute, Saint-Petersburg<br />

E-mail: spb330@spb.sitek.net<br />

Keywords: climate warming, population biodiversity, forest stability<br />

There is a question: Which consequences can entail <strong>of</strong> a global climate warming in the forestry <strong>of</strong> north-west<br />

region <strong>of</strong> Russia?<br />

It is doubtless, that the local populations <strong>of</strong> trees have adapted during evolutionary development under rather<br />

stable climatic conditions <strong>and</strong> now its correspond to local grow conditions in greatest degree. At slow enough<br />

change <strong>of</strong> climatic conditions there will be evolutionary changes in a population <strong>of</strong> wood plants, therefore the<br />

population will again correspond to new environmental conditions. If there is no time for evolutionary<br />

processes, in this case the local population will be replaced with other population, which is more adapted to new<br />

conditions. Thus the changes should occur not only at a population level, but also at a species level. The motley<br />

picture will be observed. One species will be oppressed, the development <strong>of</strong> the others will be stimulated.<br />

The technogenous increase <strong>of</strong> temperature occurs so quickly, that, the last scenario is more possible. It is clear,<br />

that the climate warming will not have an negative effect on plants growth but rather positive. As the increase<br />

<strong>of</strong> temperature occurs on a background <strong>of</strong> increase <strong>of</strong> CO 2 concentration. However, there are in a nature “an<br />

extremely interested persons” which intense observe the correspondence <strong>of</strong> any population to their occupied<br />

place. These “persons” are diseases <strong>and</strong> pests populations. They sensitively will react by their number to<br />

slightest changes in balance <strong>of</strong> a tree <strong>and</strong> environment. Thus, at fast global climate warming it can be expected,<br />

that the first consequences will be increase <strong>of</strong> number <strong>and</strong> scale <strong>of</strong> outbreaks <strong>of</strong> insects <strong>and</strong> diseases.<br />

If to consider a modern condition <strong>of</strong> forests, it is quite probable, that the distribution in 80 years, so-called,<br />

“new damages <strong>of</strong> forests” <strong>and</strong> mass decline <strong>of</strong> forests in 90 years XX century (for example, the prompt ruin <strong>of</strong><br />

pine forests in the south <strong>of</strong> the Pskovskaja region in Russia surveyed by us in 1998-99 years (Semakova T.A.,<br />

Chabounine D.A., Maslakov E.L., 2000), <strong>and</strong> also sharp increase <strong>of</strong> coniferous forests decline in Byelorussia<br />

(Fedorov N.I. et al., 1997), Pol<strong>and</strong> (Sierota Z., 1998), Hungary (Koltay A., 1998), connected with root rot <strong>and</strong><br />

insects) are the consequences <strong>of</strong> a climate warming. If the assumption about stimulation <strong>of</strong> pest <strong>and</strong> disease<br />

activity by a climate warming is correct, the forestry enters into a condition <strong>of</strong> instability.<br />

To study the geographical variability <strong>of</strong> hereditary properties <strong>of</strong> forest species, to increase efficiency <strong>and</strong><br />

stability <strong>of</strong> forests, to improve the seed district division the large-scale program is carried out in Russia with<br />

uniform technique (Study, 1972). A lot <strong>of</strong> forest plantations were established for test the seeds <strong>of</strong> main forest<br />

species from various geographical areas. In north-west <strong>of</strong> Russia the spruce geographical cultures are<br />

established in Leningradskaja (27,6 ha), Vologodskaja (20,8 ha), Yaroslavskaja (1,2 ha) regions; a pine<br />

geographical cultures in Vologodskaja (23,3 ra), Leningradskaja (29,0 ha), Pskovskaja (33,0 ha), Yaroslavskaja<br />

(1,5 ha) regions.<br />

We investigated the geographical cultures in Leningradskaja region. The study <strong>of</strong> an opportunity <strong>of</strong> pine <strong>and</strong><br />

spruce seeds moving from other geographical areas for use in the Leningradskaja region has shown, that usually<br />

the best growth have the climatic types from warmer areas. Thus, frequently southern climatic types surpass local<br />

populations both in growth in height <strong>and</strong> in diameter. As it seems, it can also testify to reaction <strong>of</strong> coniferous trees<br />

to climate warming. As on the data <strong>of</strong> inspections 15 <strong>and</strong> 20 years ago which have been carried out in the same<br />

objects (geographical cultures) the so obvious superiority <strong>of</strong> southern climatic types were not marked. The<br />

similar results are received by the researchers in geographical cultures <strong>of</strong> a pine in the Pskovskaja region.<br />

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