Than 1000 International Scientists Dissent Over Man-Made Global ...

and, in the case of North America, left the Great Lakes in the glacier's retreat. The glaciers
are still retreating, so there should not be any great surprise that the sea level is rising. The
industrial revolution is about 150 years old, compared to 10,000 years of warming. Can
human activities have really made a significant contribution to rising temperatures in that
amount of time?‖ Farona asked. ―We know that the east coast of the U.S. was flooded
during the previous interglacial period, so sea level rising and coastal flooding are not
unique to this interglacial period. Why now the draconian predictions of coastal flooding as
if this has not happened before?‖ he continued. ―What is the relationship between an
increased level of carbon dioxide and temperature? Can it be predicted that an increase of
so many parts per billion of carbon dioxide will cause an increase of so many degrees? I
have not seen any answers to the questions posed above, leading me to adopt a somewhat
skeptical view of blaming global warming on human activities. What puzzles me is the
reluctance of climatologists to provide scientific data supporting their dire predictions of
the near future if we don't change our ways,‖ Farona concluded. (LINK) & (LINK)
Climate statistician Dr. William M. Briggs, who specializes in the statistics of forecast
evaluation, serves on the American Meteorological Society's Probability and Statistics
Committee and is an Associate Editor of Monthly Weather Review. Briggs, a visiting
Mathematics professor at Central Michigan University and a Biostatistician at New
York Methodist Hospital, has a new paper coming out in the peer-reviewed Journal of
Climate which finds that hurricanes have not increased in number or intensity in the
North Atlantic. Briggs, who has authored numerous articles in meteorological and
climatological journals, has also authored another study looking at tropical cyclones around
the globe, and finds that they have not increased in number or intensity either. Briggs
expressed skepticism about man-made global warming fears in 2007. "There is a lot of
uncertainly among scientists about what's going on with the climate," Briggs wrote to EPW
on December 28, 2007. "Most scientists just don't want the publicity one way or another.
Generally, publicity is not good for one's academic career. Only, after reading [UN IPCC
chairman] Pachauri's asinine comment [comparing scientists skeptical of man-made
climate fears to] Flat Earthers, it's hard to remain quiet," Briggs explained. "It is well
known that weather forecasts, out to, say, four to five days, have skill; that is, they can beat
just guessing the average. Forecasts with lead times greater than this have decreasing to no
skill," Briggs wrote. "The skill of climate forecasts---global climate models---upon which
the vast majority of global warming science is based are not well investigated, but what is
known is that these models do not do a good job at reproducing past, known climates, nor
at predicting future climates. The error associated with climate predictions is also much
larger than that usually ascribed to them; meaning, of course, that people are far too sure of
themselves and their models," he added. Briggs also further explained the inadequacies of
climate models. "Here is a simplified version of what happens. A modeler starts with the
hypothesis that CO2 traps heat, describes an equation for this, finds a numericalapproximate
solution for this equation, codes the approximation, and then runs the model
twice, once at ‗pre-industrial‘ levels of CO2, and once at twice that level, and, lo!, the
modeler discovers that the later simulation gives a warmer atmosphere! He then publishes a
paper which states something to the effect of, ‗Our new model shows that increasing CO2
warms the air,‘‖ Briggs explained. ―Well, it couldn't do anything *but* show that, since
that is what it was programmed to show. But, somehow, the fact the model shows just
what it was programmed to show is used as evidence that the assumptions underlying the
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