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free download - University Press of Colorado

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Long-Term Vulnerability and Resilience<br />

Understanding Hazards, Mitigating Impacts, Avoiding Disasters<br />

Statement for Policy Makers and the Disaster Management Community<br />

Humans sometimes build social systems that exacerbate rather than mitigate<br />

potential climate “hazards” or that actually prevent people from responding<br />

effectively to them. In this chapter we examine three lessons to be learned<br />

from understanding long sequences <strong>of</strong> human-environment interaction. The<br />

first examines how diversity in food systems influences the vulnerability <strong>of</strong><br />

human societies to food shortages as a result <strong>of</strong> low precipitation in the arid<br />

to semiarid region <strong>of</strong> the southwestern United States and northern Mexico.<br />

The second examines how irrigation infrastructure both mitigates variability<br />

in the temporal and spatial patterns <strong>of</strong> precipitation and creates new vulnerabilities,<br />

emphasizing the reality that there is no “absolute resilience or<br />

robustness.” The third emphasizes the role <strong>of</strong> social action in creating conditions<br />

<strong>of</strong> rigidity and the extent to which rigidity, however it emerges in modern<br />

systems, may exacerbate the potential for climate “hazards” to impact<br />

people. Decision-making about sustainable practice that can promote resilience<br />

requires nuanced thinking about the costs and benefits <strong>of</strong> diversity, the<br />

trade<strong>of</strong>fs between resilience and vulnerability that can result from the nature<br />

<strong>of</strong> our investments in infrastructure, and the role <strong>of</strong> humans in constructing<br />

rigidity traps. These are important factors in managing toward reductions in<br />

the impacts <strong>of</strong> various disturbances or hazards.<br />

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