Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012 - Urban Land Institute
Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012 - Urban Land Institute
Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012 - Urban Land Institute
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the urban growth track for the next generation.<br />
“It’s a potential game changer for<br />
promot<strong>in</strong>g transit-oriented development<br />
and overcom<strong>in</strong>g congestion.” Will antitax<br />
sentiment derail the city’s bid to fund<br />
necessary <strong>in</strong>frastructure Stay tuned.<br />
Other Market<br />
Prospects<br />
Frustrated hotel developers l<strong>in</strong>e up to<br />
start projects <strong>in</strong> Honolulu (22) and other<br />
parts of Hawaii, “but only a few make<br />
sense.” Stiff vacation travel tabs from<br />
the U.S. ma<strong>in</strong>land damp hotel bus<strong>in</strong>ess,<br />
and Japanese tourists haven’t been <strong>in</strong> a<br />
spend<strong>in</strong>g mood either. . . . Baltimore (25)<br />
can work as a cheaper back office option<br />
for Wash<strong>in</strong>gton, and its <strong>in</strong>dustrial market<br />
rema<strong>in</strong>s an important distribution po<strong>in</strong>t for<br />
the Mid-Atlantic states. . . . M<strong>in</strong>neapolis<br />
(26) and Nashville (27) play second<br />
banana to Chicago and Atlanta; respectively:<br />
they lack gateway <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />
airports, and only so many can serve<br />
any region. The Tw<strong>in</strong> Cities suffer from<br />
high office vacancies but will outperform<br />
other Midwest markets. . . . The Inland<br />
Empire (28) fell hard when hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />
collapsed; warehouses recover, but<br />
Exhibit 3-11<br />
U.S. Hotel Buy/Hold/Sell Recommendations by Metro Area<br />
San Francisco<br />
Los Angeles<br />
Wash<strong>in</strong>gton, D.C.<br />
Boston<br />
San Diego<br />
Seattle<br />
Miami<br />
Chicago<br />
Dallas/Fort Worth<br />
Phoenix<br />
Denver<br />
Houston<br />
Philadelphia<br />
Atlanta<br />
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%<br />
Source: <strong>Emerg<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Real</strong> <strong>Estate</strong> <strong>2012</strong> survey.<br />
Buy<br />
Hold Sell<br />
New York City 55.56 30.56 13.89<br />
50.00 34.88 15.12<br />
44.71 41.18 14.12<br />
41.67 47.92 10.42<br />
40.74 48.15 11.11<br />
38.67 53.33 8.00<br />
38.16 56.58 5.26<br />
31.43 55.71 12.86<br />
30.14 53.43 16.44<br />
27.63 50.00 22.37<br />
22.50 52.50 25.00<br />
21.43 60.00 18.57<br />
20.00 55.71 24.29<br />
18.18 63.64 18.18<br />
15.22 50.00 34.78<br />
40 <strong>Emerg<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Real</strong> <strong>Estate</strong> ® <strong>2012</strong>