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Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012 - Urban Land Institute

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the urban growth track for the next generation.<br />

“It’s a potential game changer for<br />

promot<strong>in</strong>g transit-oriented development<br />

and overcom<strong>in</strong>g congestion.” Will antitax<br />

sentiment derail the city’s bid to fund<br />

necessary <strong>in</strong>frastructure Stay tuned.<br />

Other Market<br />

Prospects<br />

Frustrated hotel developers l<strong>in</strong>e up to<br />

start projects <strong>in</strong> Honolulu (22) and other<br />

parts of Hawaii, “but only a few make<br />

sense.” Stiff vacation travel tabs from<br />

the U.S. ma<strong>in</strong>land damp hotel bus<strong>in</strong>ess,<br />

and Japanese tourists haven’t been <strong>in</strong> a<br />

spend<strong>in</strong>g mood either. . . . Baltimore (25)<br />

can work as a cheaper back office option<br />

for Wash<strong>in</strong>gton, and its <strong>in</strong>dustrial market<br />

rema<strong>in</strong>s an important distribution po<strong>in</strong>t for<br />

the Mid-Atlantic states. . . . M<strong>in</strong>neapolis<br />

(26) and Nashville (27) play second<br />

banana to Chicago and Atlanta; respectively:<br />

they lack gateway <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

airports, and only so many can serve<br />

any region. The Tw<strong>in</strong> Cities suffer from<br />

high office vacancies but will outperform<br />

other Midwest markets. . . . The Inland<br />

Empire (28) fell hard when hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />

collapsed; warehouses recover, but<br />

Exhibit 3-11<br />

U.S. Hotel Buy/Hold/Sell Recommendations by Metro Area<br />

San Francisco<br />

Los Angeles<br />

Wash<strong>in</strong>gton, D.C.<br />

Boston<br />

San Diego<br />

Seattle<br />

Miami<br />

Chicago<br />

Dallas/Fort Worth<br />

Phoenix<br />

Denver<br />

Houston<br />

Philadelphia<br />

Atlanta<br />

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%<br />

Source: <strong>Emerg<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Real</strong> <strong>Estate</strong> <strong>2012</strong> survey.<br />

Buy<br />

Hold Sell<br />

New York City 55.56 30.56 13.89<br />

50.00 34.88 15.12<br />

44.71 41.18 14.12<br />

41.67 47.92 10.42<br />

40.74 48.15 11.11<br />

38.67 53.33 8.00<br />

38.16 56.58 5.26<br />

31.43 55.71 12.86<br />

30.14 53.43 16.44<br />

27.63 50.00 22.37<br />

22.50 52.50 25.00<br />

21.43 60.00 18.57<br />

20.00 55.71 24.29<br />

18.18 63.64 18.18<br />

15.22 50.00 34.78<br />

40 <strong>Emerg<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Real</strong> <strong>Estate</strong> ® <strong>2012</strong>

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