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488 CHAPTER 10 MULTIPLE REGRESSION AND CORRELATION<br />

Y<br />

Deviations from the<br />

plane<br />

Regression plane<br />

X 2 X 1<br />

FIGURE 10.2.1<br />

Multiple regression plane and scatter of points.<br />

unit change in X 1 when X 2 remains unchanged, and b 2 measures the average change in<br />

Y for a unit change in X 2 when X 1 remains unchanged. For this reason b 1 and b 2 are<br />

referred to as partial regression coefficients.<br />

10.3 OBTAINING THE MULTIPLE<br />

REGRESSION EQUATION<br />

Unbiased estimates of the parameters b 0 , b 1 , . . . , b k of the model specified in Equation<br />

10.2.1 are obtained by the method of least squares. This means that the sum of the<br />

squared deviations of the observed values of Y from the resulting regression surface is<br />

minimized. In the three-variable case, as illustrated in Figure 10.2.1, the sum of the<br />

squared deviations of the observations from the plane are a minimum when b 0 , b 1 , and<br />

b 2 are estimated by the method of least squares. In other words, by the method of least<br />

squares, sample estimates of b 0 , b 1 , . . . , b k are selected in such a way that the quantity<br />

gP 2<br />

j = g1y j - b 0 - b 1 x 1j - b 2 x 2j - ... - b k x kj 2 2<br />

is minimized. This quantity, referred to as the sum of squares of the residuals, may also<br />

be written as<br />

gP j 2 = g1y j - yN j 2 2<br />

(10.3.1)<br />

indicating the fact that the sum of squares of deviations of the observed values of Y from<br />

the values of Y calculated from the estimated equation is minimized.

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