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86 CHAPTER 3 SOME BASIC PROBABILITY CONCEPTS<br />

• P1A2 a complementary event; the probability of an event A, not<br />

occurring<br />

• P(E i ) probability of some event E i occurring<br />

• P1A ¨ B2 an “intersection” or “and” statement; the probability of<br />

an event A and an event B occurring<br />

• P1A ´ B2 a “union” or “or” statement; the probability of an event<br />

Aoran event B or both occurring<br />

• P1A ƒ B2 a conditional statement; the probability of an event A<br />

occurring given that an event B has already occurred<br />

• T test results<br />

REVIEW QUESTIONS AND EXERCISES<br />

1. Define the following:<br />

(a) Probability<br />

(c) Subjective probability<br />

(e) The relative frequency concept of probability<br />

(g) Independence<br />

(i) Joint probability<br />

(k) The addition rule<br />

(m) Complementary events<br />

(o) False negative<br />

(q) Specificity<br />

(s) Predictive value negative<br />

(b) Objective probability<br />

(d) Classical probability<br />

(f) Mutually exclusive events<br />

(h) Marginal probability<br />

(j) Conditional probability<br />

(l) The multiplication rule<br />

(n) False positive<br />

(p) Sensitivity<br />

(r) Predictive value positive<br />

(t) Bayes’s theorem<br />

2. Name and explain the three properties of probability.<br />

3. Coughlin et al. (A-9) examined the breast and cervical screening practices of Hispanic and non-Hispanic<br />

women in counties that approximate the U.S. southern border region. The study used data from the<br />

Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System surveys of adults age 18 years or older conducted in<br />

1999 and 2000. The table below reports the number of observations of Hispanic and non-Hispanic<br />

women who had received a mammogram in the past 2 years cross-classified with marital status.<br />

Marital Status Hispanic Non-Hispanic Total<br />

Currently Married 319 738 1057<br />

Divorced or Separated 130 329 459<br />

Widowed 88 402 490<br />

Never Married or Living As<br />

an Unmarried Couple 41 95 136<br />

Total 578 1564 2142<br />

Source: Steven S. Coughlin, Robert J. Uhler, Thomas Richards, and Katherine<br />

M. Wilson, “Breast and Cervical Cancer Screening Practices Among Hispanic<br />

and Non-Hispanic Women Residing Near the United States–Mexico Border,<br />

1999–2000,” Family and Community Health, 26 (2003), 130–139.

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