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EXERCISES 157<br />

old are drawn from these populations, find the probability that the difference in percent<br />

of total natural teeth loss is less than 5 percent between the two populations.<br />

Solution: We assume that the sampling distribution pN 1 - pN 2 is approximately normal.<br />

The mean difference in proportions of those losing all their teeth is<br />

and the variance is<br />

m Np1 - Np 2<br />

= .34 - .26 = .08<br />

s 2 Np 1<br />

- Np 2 = p 111 - p 1 2<br />

n 1<br />

+ p 211 - p 2 2<br />

n 2<br />

= 1.3421.662<br />

250<br />

+ 1.2621.742<br />

200<br />

= .00186<br />

The area of interest under the curve of pN 1 - pN 2 is that to the left of .05. The<br />

corresponding z value is<br />

z =<br />

.05 - 1.082<br />

2.00186 = -.70<br />

Consulting Table D, we find that the area to the left of z = -.70 is<br />

.2420. ■<br />

EXERCISES<br />

5.6.1 According to the 2000 U.S. Census Bureau (A-8), in 2000, 9.5 percent of children in the state of<br />

Ohio were not covered by private or government health insurance. In the neighboring state of<br />

Pennsylvania, 4.9 percent of children were not covered by health insurance. Assume that these<br />

proportions are parameters for the child populations of the respective states. If a random sample<br />

of size 100 children is drawn from the Ohio population, and an independent random sample of<br />

size 120 is drawn from the Pennsylvania population, what is the probability that the samples would<br />

yield a difference, pN 1 - pN 2 of .09 or more<br />

5.6.2 In the report cited in Exercise 5.6.1 (A-8), the Census Bureau stated that for Americans in the age<br />

group 18–24 years, 64.8 percent had private health insurance. In the age group 25–34 years, the percentage<br />

was 72.1. Assume that these percentages are the population parameters in those age groups<br />

for the United States. Suppose we select a random sample of 250 Americans from the 18–24 age<br />

group and an independent random sample of 200 Americans from the age group 25–34; find the probability<br />

that pN 2 - pN 1 is less than 6 percent.<br />

5.6.3 From the results of a survey conducted by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (A-9), it was estimated<br />

that 21 percent of workers employed in the Northeast participated in health care benefits<br />

programs that included vision care. The percentage in the South was 13 percent. Assume these<br />

percentages are population parameters for the respective U.S. regions. Suppose we select a simple<br />

random sample of size 120 northeastern workers and an independent simple random sample<br />

of 130 southern workers. What is the probability that the difference between sample proportions,<br />

pN 1 - pN 2 , will be between .04 and .20

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