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Prospects of the ICT sector in Greece

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Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />

Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>- policy implications<br />

Appendix 3 : Forecasts for <strong>the</strong> turnover <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> firms<br />

Fiscal Year <strong>of</strong> 2005<br />

Accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> available results for <strong>the</strong> fiscal year 2005, (1120 firms, roughly 92% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

2004 turnover) <strong>the</strong> total <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> (as it has been def<strong>in</strong>ed previously) shows a 3.1%<br />

decrease <strong>in</strong> its turnover. If OTE is excluded from <strong>the</strong> analysis, <strong>the</strong> decrease is slightly more<br />

<strong>in</strong>tense and reaches -3.4%. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, if <strong>the</strong> three mobile carriers are also excluded, <strong>the</strong><br />

turnover will decrease by -3.2%. However, it is obvious that important part <strong>of</strong> this decrease is<br />

due to retail trade, s<strong>in</strong>ce remov<strong>in</strong>g it from <strong>the</strong> analysis, narrows <strong>the</strong> decrease at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> -<br />

2.1%. Out <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 45 companies that belong to this category, <strong>the</strong> four larger ones show an<br />

8% <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> turnover <strong>in</strong> 2005, but <strong>the</strong> rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g ones seem to limit <strong>the</strong>ir turnover by -<br />

30%.<br />

At a <strong>sector</strong>al level, <strong>the</strong> decrease is more <strong>in</strong>tense <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> IT <strong>sector</strong> (-6.5% or -4.5% without<br />

retail) and lighter <strong>in</strong> telecommunications (-2.5%). In terms <strong>of</strong> sub-<strong>sector</strong>s:<br />

In <strong>ICT</strong> Manufactur<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong> decrease f turnover is 9.9%, ma<strong>in</strong>ly due to <strong>the</strong><br />

restructur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> INTRACOM (-47%), s<strong>in</strong>ce one <strong>of</strong> its important parts (INTRACOM IT)<br />

is now classified <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> sub-<strong>sector</strong> <strong>of</strong> IT services. If it is excluded from <strong>the</strong> analysis,<br />

this sub-<strong>sector</strong> extends its turnover by 11.4%.<br />

In <strong>ICT</strong> Trade <strong>the</strong> decrease is 6.2%, which is ma<strong>in</strong>ly due to <strong>the</strong> big retail networks. If<br />

retail is excluded, <strong>the</strong> decrease is limited to -3.8%.<br />

In telecommunications/<strong>in</strong>ternet service providers, a marg<strong>in</strong>al decrease <strong>of</strong> 0.9% is<br />

reported (0.7% without OTE).<br />

In S<strong>of</strong>tware products, an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> 1.9% is reported.<br />

In IT Services, a 4.2% <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> turnover is reported, while an important part <strong>of</strong><br />

this <strong>in</strong>crease is due to <strong>the</strong> entry <strong>of</strong> INTRACOM IT.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ally, if we isolate - for 2005 – firms that operate ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> NACE 72 (Information<br />

technology and relevant activities), <strong>the</strong>se show an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> 4.9% n <strong>the</strong>ir turnover.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> presence <strong>of</strong> OTE <strong>in</strong>fluences by 1% <strong>the</strong> total turnover <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> subset <strong>of</strong> firms<br />

form <strong>the</strong> NACE 64.2 <strong>sector</strong> (Telecommunications) (– 0.4% to +0.1%, if OTE is excluded or<br />

<strong>in</strong>cluded respectively).<br />

October 2006<br />

Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 53

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