Practical Poker Math

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3. Odds in Texas Hold’em 2 Unpaired Hole Cards >>> Flop a Set To find the odds of a Flop that will include either a pair of Aces or a pair of Jacks with AJ in the hole, we need to know the number of possible Pairs of both Aces and Jacks from the remaining 3 Aces and 3 Jacks: (3 * 2) = 3 (1 * 2) With 3 possible pairs of Aces and 3 possible pairs of Jacks there are 6 different Pairs that can appear as part of the Flop to make a Set to either hole card. Minus the 2 cards in the hole and the 6 remaining Aces and Jacks there are 44 unseen cards, none of which are Aces or Jacks. With 6 possible Pairs and 44 unseen cards that are not either an Ace or a Jack, the number of possible 3-card Flops that WILL flop a not-too-hidden Set of either hole card is: 6 * 44 = 264 We now have all the numbers needed to calculate the odds of flopping a Set to either hole card: Total Possibilities = 19,600 – WILLs = 264 WILLNOTs = 19,336 Odds of Flopping a Set WILLNOTs : WILLs 19,336 : 264 Reduce 19,336 / 264 : 264 / 264 73.24 : 1 92
After the Flop Odds of Improvement Once the Flop has hit the board, you have 5 of the 7 cards that will make your best and final hand. After the Flop and with 2 cards to come, regardless of the hand, any player still involved will want to know: ♦ The odds of improvement on the next card (the Turn) ♦ The odds of improvement over the next two cards (the Turn and the River) ♦ The odds of hitting certain Runner-Runner hands. The tables and calculations below demonstrate these odds. Money Odds, Overlays & Expectation After the betting on the Flop in limit games, the stakes usually double and the cost to continue in the hand increases. As each card is placed on the board, the likelihood of improvement decreases. As each bet or raise is made or called, the money odds get better. The odds of improvement make it easy for any player to know his chances for a stronger hand. But to be most useful as decision support information, the odds of improvement must be considered in conjunction with the ♦ Money odds and the risk odds offered if a bluff or semi-bluff were to immediately win the pot ♦ Likely total money odds at the end 93 After the Flop
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Practical Poker Math By Pat Dittmar
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Thanks to some Friends for their la
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Table of Contents Preface . . . . .
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Odds with 2 Cards to Come . . . . .
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This is not perfect knowledge. It i
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Practical Poker Math The first aim
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1. Introduction to Game Theory in P
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2. The Basic Calculations Total Pos
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2. The Basic Calculations Another w
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2. The Basic Calculations Combinati
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2. The Basic Calculations This can
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2. The Basic Calculations 52 * 51 =
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2. The Basic Calculations pot odds
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2. The Basic Calculations Total Odd
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2. The Basic Calculations Odds in T
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2. The Basic Calculations number of
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2. The Basic Calculations sible fro
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2. The Basic Calculations Open Ende
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2. The Basic Calculations Odds of a
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2. The Basic Calculations After the
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2. The Basic Calculations The odds
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2. The Basic Calculations (48 * 47
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2. The Basic Calculations After the
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Page 68 and 69: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em In a ful
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Page 74 and 75: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em WILLNOTs
Page 76 and 77: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em 54 1,326
Page 78 and 79: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Axs Comb
Page 80 and 81: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em 2 Big Ca
Page 82 and 83: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Among th
Page 84 and 85: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em consider
Page 86 and 87: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Before t
Page 88 and 89: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em 1 * 100
Page 90 and 91: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Starting
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Page 94 and 95: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Odds of
Page 96 and 97: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em rank, th
Page 98 and 99: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em 39 * 55
Page 100 and 101: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em After yo
Page 102 and 103: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Suited C
Page 104 and 105: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Total Po
Page 106 and 107: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em 2 Big Ca
Page 108 and 109: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em with AJ
Page 112 and 113: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em ♦ Like
Page 114 and 115: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em must hav
Page 116 and 117: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Pair >>>
Page 118 and 119: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Open Str
Page 120 and 121: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Set >>>
Page 122 and 123: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em After th
Page 126 and 127: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Open Str
Page 128 and 129: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em (10 * 9)
Page 130 and 131: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em 172 + 2
Page 132 and 133: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Runner -
Page 134 and 135: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em 1 Pair >
Page 136 and 137: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em For each
Page 138 and 139: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em With onl
Page 140 and 141: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em 2 Unpair
Page 142 and 143: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Thus of
Page 146 and 147: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em 2 Pair >
Page 148 and 149: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em still 9
Page 150 and 151: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em Open End
Page 152 and 153: 3. Odds in Texas Hold’em 2. The g
Page 154 and 155: 4. Consolidated Odds Tables Texas H
Page 156 and 157: 4. Consolidated Odds Tables After t
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4. Consolidated Odds Tables Startin
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4. Consolidated Odds Tables Hand Af
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5. Odds in Omaha Hi-Lo In a 10-hand
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Starting Hands Your first chance to
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As demonstrated in Chapter 1, The B
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The odds of exactly one pair of Ace
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A2/AK Single Suited to the Ace For
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The number of 3-card combinations t
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The probability of A23 with the Ace
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AA2X Single Suited to A For the Flu
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There are 6 2-card combinations tha
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WILLNOTs (270,629) : WILLs (96) 270
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There are only 2 2-card combination
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Probably Not Playable With the thre
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Before the Flop In both Omaha High
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The Calculations These calculations
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Low hand (2), minus the 6 cards tha
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AA23 >>> Wheel or Aces Full To flop
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From the calculations above, we kno
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Total Possibilities = 17,296 - WILL
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Odds of Flopping an Ace High Flush
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Reduce 13,936 / 3,360 : 3,360/ 3,36
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(24 * 23) = 276 (1 * 2) 276 - 36 =
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(48 * 47) * 6 = 6,768 (1 * 2) Total
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After the Flop Nut Hand or Nut Draw
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1. Whether or not there will be a p
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The Calculations With the Turn card
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21 * 100 = 46.7% 45 Wheel (A2345) D
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Total Possibilities = 45 - WILLs =
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Odds of Turning a Boat or Quads WIL
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The Calculations After the Flop and
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Low Draw with Backup Low Card in th
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164 + 6 = 170 possible 2-card combi
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Flush Draw & Low Draw >>> Flush or
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296 + 28 = 324 possible 2-card comb
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Reduce 812 / 178 : 178 / 178 4.6 :
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Runner — Runner Remember — runn
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830 / 160 : 160 / 160 5.2 : 1 Back
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For each of these 3 sets there are
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Odds of a Runner-Runner 2 Pair or S
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Before the Last Card After the Turn
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The Calculations With one card to c
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2 Pair >>> Full House Reduce 23 / 2
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Open Ended Straight Draw & Flush Dr
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The River Bet All the cards are out
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Practical Poker Math

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