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Practical Poker Math

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3. Odds in Texas Hold’em<br />

In a full 10-handed Hold’em game, some reasonable expectations<br />

about starting hands and some derived points of<br />

inference from those expectations are as follows:<br />

♦ Once in an average of approximately every 55<br />

hands (5.5 rounds) seen by you or by any one of<br />

your opponents, you or that specific opponent will<br />

receive a pair of Jacks or better in the hole. The<br />

corollary follows.<br />

♦ Once in roughly every 5.5 hands (slightly less often<br />

than twice every round) someone — anyone at the<br />

table — will receive a pair of Jacks or better in the<br />

hole.<br />

♦ Playing online at 4 tables simultaneously with an<br />

average of 60 hands per hour per table, someone at<br />

one of the 4 tables will have a pair of Jacks or<br />

better in the hole roughly every 80 seconds.<br />

♦ Slightly more often than once every other round (1<br />

in 17 hands) you or any specific one of your opponents<br />

will receive a Pocket Pair.<br />

♦ On average, for every 17 sets of hole cards dealt,<br />

which is slightly more than once every other hand,<br />

someone at the table will hold a Pocket Pair.<br />

♦ With over 80% of possible starting hands designated<br />

as rags, with not every non-rag hand<br />

playable in every situation, and with the exception<br />

of blinds and special situations, UPWARDS OF<br />

90% OF ANY PLAYER’S STARTING HANDS<br />

SHOULD BE DEEMED UNPLAYABLE.<br />

♦ On average there will be almost 2 non-rag hands<br />

dealt per round. If 3 or more non-blind players pay<br />

50

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