14.11.2012 Views

Practical Poker Math

Practical Poker Math

Practical Poker Math

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Introduction<br />

Certain practitioners can predict, with perfect accuracy, such<br />

natural phenomena as the day, the night, the tides and even<br />

celestial events that will occur a thousand years from now.<br />

In poker, any player can predict with that same astonishing<br />

accuracy the likelihood of any card appearing at any time.<br />

He can predict the likely holdings of his opponents and,<br />

based on his own hand, he can predict the long-term profitability<br />

of any call, bet or raise.<br />

In astrophysics and the navigation of spacecraft, the requirement<br />

for accuracy is absolute. In poker a close approximation<br />

is all you need.<br />

The outcome of any hand of poker is determined by either<br />

or both of the fall of the cards and the actions of the players.<br />

If the cards fall so that you have the best hand and you don’t<br />

fold, you will win the pot. If you employ a betting strategy<br />

that compels your opponent(s) to fold, your cards could be<br />

blank and you will still win the pot.<br />

Knowledge of odds and probabilities can turn seemingly<br />

random events, such as the fall of the cards, into eminently<br />

predictable occurrences. An understanding of positive or<br />

negative expectation will tell the long-term profitability of<br />

any given play and a grasp of basic Game Theory can tell<br />

much about the likely responses of opponents.<br />

xi

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!