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Practical Poker Math

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Low Draw with Backup Low Card in the Hole >>><br />

Low with 2 Cards to Come<br />

With a Low draw and a backup low card in the hole, 12 of<br />

the unseen 45 cards will make a Low. A Low can also be<br />

made by counterfeiting any 1 of the 3 low cards in the hole.<br />

12 + 9 = 21 cards among the 45 that will make the Low.<br />

21 * 24 = 504 is the number of 2-card combinations, one<br />

card of which will make the low.<br />

Comb(21, 2) is the number of 2-card combinations that<br />

contain 2 cards either of which will make a Low, including<br />

pairs. To make this Low, none of those 2-card combinations<br />

may counterfeit more than one rank of the cards in<br />

the hole.<br />

27 2-card combinations each of which contain a card that<br />

counterfeits a different rank in the hole, must be subtracted<br />

from Comb(21, 2) to find the number of 2-card combinations<br />

that will contain 2 low cards and still successfully make<br />

a Low to this hand:<br />

(21 * 20) = 210<br />

(1 * 2)<br />

210 – 27 = 183<br />

504 + 183 = 687 possible 2-card combinations WILL make<br />

the low:<br />

Total Possibilities = 990<br />

– WILLs = 687<br />

WILLNOTs = 303<br />

205<br />

After the Flop

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