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Practical Poker Math

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3. Odds in Texas Hold’em<br />

Odds of Flopping Quads with a Pocket Pair<br />

WILLNOTs : WILLs<br />

19,552 : 48<br />

Reduce<br />

19,552 / 48 : 48 / 48<br />

407.3 : 1<br />

Pocket Pair >>> Set or Better<br />

Given all of the above calculations, finding the odds of flopping<br />

a Set, a Full House or Quads when holding a Pocket Pair<br />

is simply a matter of combining the WILLs.<br />

Number of Flops that make a Set 2,112<br />

Number of Flops that make a Boat 192<br />

Number of Flops that make Quads 48<br />

Flops that WILL make a Set or better 2,352<br />

We now have all the numbers needed to calculate the odds of<br />

flopping a Set or better with a Pair in the hole:<br />

Total Possibilities = 19,600<br />

– WILLs = 2,352<br />

WILLNOTs = 17,248<br />

Odds of Flopping Set or Boat w/Pocket Pair<br />

WILLNOTs : WILLs<br />

17,248 : 2,352<br />

Reduce<br />

17,248 / 2,352 : 2,352 / 2,352<br />

7.3 : 1<br />

76

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