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Practical Poker Math

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The Calculations<br />

With one card to come, the odds calculation for the various<br />

hands is straightforward. The only number that changes is<br />

the number of outs.<br />

After the Turn card has hit the board, there are 4 cards in the<br />

hole, 4 on the board and 44 unseen cards.<br />

Total Possibilities = 44<br />

Total Possibilities – WILLs (Outs) = WILLNOTs<br />

Low Draw >>> Low<br />

Odds = WILLNOTs : WILLs (Outs)<br />

With a Low draw there are 16 cards from 4 ranks that can<br />

come on the River to make the Low:<br />

Total Possibilities = 44<br />

– WILLs = 16<br />

WILLNOTs = 28<br />

Odds of Making a Low<br />

WILLNOTs : WILLs<br />

28 : 16<br />

Reduce<br />

28 / 16 : 16 / 16<br />

1.75 : 1<br />

WILLs<br />

* 100 = Probability as %<br />

Total Possibilities<br />

16 * 100 = 36%<br />

44<br />

225<br />

Before the Last Card

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