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Practical Poker Math

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will flop this same hidden Set once every 12–18 minutes<br />

online and once every 25–40 minutes in the casino.<br />

Most pre-Flop odds calculations relate to the likelihood that<br />

certain hands will improve. To help organize these calculations,<br />

almost all possible starting hands can be placed into<br />

one of four classifications:<br />

1. Pocket Pairs<br />

2. 2 Suited Cards<br />

3. Big Cards<br />

4. Rags.<br />

Most of the work in this section refers to the odds of<br />

improvement of certain hands. Players generally find “odds<br />

of improvement” easier to work with than “probability of<br />

improvement” because, for them, it is easier to relate those<br />

odds to the money odds in order to determine expectation.<br />

Any expression of odds can easily be converted to an expression<br />

of probability. For example, with a Pair in the pocket,<br />

the odds against flopping a Set and a Set only are 8.28 : 1.<br />

To convert these odds to an expression of probability:<br />

WILLNOTs : WILLs<br />

8.28 : 1<br />

WILLs = 1<br />

+ WILLNOTs = 8.28<br />

Total Possibilities = 9.28<br />

WILLs<br />

* 100 = Probability as %<br />

Total Possibilities<br />

69<br />

Before the Flop

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