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Practical Poker Math

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From the calculations above, we know that there are 3,200<br />

Flops that will make a nut Low.<br />

To flop an Ace-High Flush, the Flop must contain 3 cards<br />

from either of 2 suits — Comb(11, 3) * 2:<br />

(11 * 10 * 9) * 2 = 330<br />

(1 * 2 * 3)<br />

Also from the work above, we know that there are 134 Flops<br />

that will make Aces Full.<br />

There are 3,664 Flops that will make a nut Low, Ace High<br />

Flush or Aces Full to this hand:<br />

Nut Low = 3,200<br />

Ace High Flush = 330<br />

Aces Full = 134<br />

3,664<br />

Odds of Flopping a Nut Low, Ace High Flush<br />

or Aces Full<br />

WILLNOTs : WILLs<br />

13,632 : 3,664<br />

Reduce<br />

13,632 / 3,664 : 3,664/ 3,664<br />

3.7 : 1<br />

AA23 >>> Counterfeited A or 2 or 3<br />

To find the odds of a counterfeited A, 2 or 3 at least once on<br />

the Flop, multiply the number of 2-card combinations possible<br />

from the 48 unseen cards by the number of remaining<br />

A’s, 2’s and 3’s — Comb(48, 2) * 8:<br />

(48 * 47) * 8 = 9,024<br />

(1 * 2)<br />

179<br />

Before the Flop

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