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Practical Poker Math

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After the Flop<br />

Odds of Improvement<br />

Once the Flop has hit the board, you have 5 of the 7 cards<br />

that will make your best and final hand. After the Flop and<br />

with 2 cards to come, regardless of the hand, any player still<br />

involved will want to know:<br />

♦ The odds of improvement on the next card (the<br />

Turn)<br />

♦ The odds of improvement over the next two cards<br />

(the Turn and the River)<br />

♦ The odds of hitting certain Runner-Runner hands.<br />

The tables and calculations below demonstrate these odds.<br />

Money Odds, Overlays & Expectation<br />

After the betting on the Flop in limit games, the stakes usually<br />

double and the cost to continue in the hand increases. As<br />

each card is placed on the board, the likelihood of improvement<br />

decreases. As each bet or raise is made or called, the<br />

money odds get better.<br />

The odds of improvement make it easy for any player to<br />

know his chances for a stronger hand. But to be most useful<br />

as decision support information, the odds of improvement<br />

must be considered in conjunction with the<br />

♦ Money odds and the risk odds offered if a bluff or<br />

semi-bluff were to immediately win the pot<br />

♦ Likely total money odds at the end<br />

93<br />

After the Flop

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