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Practical Poker Math

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Two of the most basic assumptions of Game Theory are that<br />

all players<br />

1. Have equal common knowledge<br />

2. Will act in a rational manner.<br />

But in poker, while all players at any given table have access to<br />

the same common information, not all of them are smart<br />

enough to do something with it. Players who know more about<br />

odds and probabilities, and whose instincts and keen observation<br />

enable them to better process the common knowledge<br />

around them, will take far better advantage of this information<br />

and will have correspondingly higher positive expectations.<br />

So while all the players at the table have access to the same<br />

common knowledge, some players are able to base their<br />

actions on knowledge that is more complete. That all players<br />

in all games will always act rationally is never a safe assumption<br />

in poker.<br />

Equilibrium versus Evolution<br />

According to the “Nash Equilibrium,” a game is said to be in<br />

a state of equilibrium when no player can earn more by a<br />

change in strategy. It has been argued that, using the process<br />

of backward induction, players will evolve their strategies to<br />

the point of equilibrium.<br />

In poker, the astute player’s strategy will always be in a state<br />

of evolution so that his opponents, in order not to be dominated,<br />

will also be compelled to modify their strategies. In a<br />

real game of poker there is constant evolution and therefore<br />

hardly ever a point of absolute equilibrium.<br />

5<br />

Game Theory and <strong>Poker</strong>

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