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Practical Poker Math

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AA23 >>> Wheel or Aces Full<br />

To flop a Wheel (A2345) with this hand, there must be both<br />

a 4 and a 5 on the board as well as a counterfeit to one of the<br />

hole cards.<br />

There are 4 * 4 = 16 possible 45 combinations multiplied by<br />

one of the 8 cards that will counterfeit one of the hole cards:<br />

16 * 8 = 128<br />

128 3-card combinations will make a Wheel to this hand.<br />

To flop Aces Full with this hand, one of the Flop cards must<br />

be an Ace and the other 2 must be paired. Remaining unseen<br />

are 1 pair of Aces, 3 pairs of Deuces, 3 pairs of Treys, and 60<br />

pairs from the ten ranks 4 through K. With 2 unseen Aces, the<br />

number of 3-card Flops that will make Aces Full is:<br />

67 * 2 = 134<br />

128 + 134 = 262 3-card Flops WILL make Aces Full or a<br />

Wheel to this hand:<br />

Total Possibilities = 17,296<br />

– WILLs = 262<br />

WILLNOTs = 17,034<br />

Odds of Flopping a Wheel or Aces Full<br />

WILLNOTs : WILLs<br />

17,034 : 262<br />

Reduce<br />

17,034 / 262 : 262 / 262<br />

65 : 1<br />

177<br />

Before the Flop

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