Final FONSI and EA for hot cargo pad on Kirtland AFB - Kirtland Air ...
Final FONSI and EA for hot cargo pad on Kirtland AFB - Kirtland Air ...
Final FONSI and EA for hot cargo pad on Kirtland AFB - Kirtland Air ...
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<str<strong>on</strong>g>Final</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>EA</str<strong>on</strong>g> Addressing C<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong>, Operati<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Maintenance of a Hot Cargo Pad<br />
4.12 <strong>Air</strong>craft Safety<br />
4.12.1 Evaluati<strong>on</strong> Criteria<br />
Explosives risk assessments are a subset of the comm<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>er’s overall risk management program. An<br />
explosives risk assessment analyzes hazards associated with transporting, storing, disposing of, h<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ling<br />
or firing ammuniti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> explosive materials. Operati<strong>on</strong>al Risk Assessments, per AFPAM 91-215,<br />
Operati<strong>on</strong>al Risk Management Guidelines <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Tools, can range from examining the relati<strong>on</strong>ship between<br />
a PES <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> an ES, to determine what effect <strong>on</strong>e has <strong>on</strong> the other in the event of an accidental explosi<strong>on</strong>, to<br />
ascertaining the worst credible event ramificati<strong>on</strong>s of an explosives h<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ling mishap (USAF 1998b).<br />
Risk levels are calculated based <strong>on</strong> three criteria: the likelihood of a mishap, the exposure of pers<strong>on</strong>nel<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> resources to an explosives hazard, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the possible c<strong>on</strong>sequences of a mishap (USAF 1998b).<br />
The likelihood of a mishap is the relative probability an explosives mishap will occur based <strong>on</strong> the type of<br />
explosives involved, the level of activity at the PES, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> external threats to the locati<strong>on</strong>. Each PES is<br />
categorized according to <strong>on</strong>e of five generalized probability levels as defined in AFMAN 91-215, which<br />
include frequent, likely, occasi<strong>on</strong>al, seldom, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> unlikely (USAF 1998b).<br />
The severity of an explosive accident is categorized based <strong>on</strong> their effect <strong>on</strong> pers<strong>on</strong>nel, missi<strong>on</strong> capability,<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> other resources according to Table 4-4.<br />
Category<br />
Table 4-4. Severity of a Mishap<br />
Criteria<br />
Greater than 5 related pers<strong>on</strong>nel fatalities or any unrelated fatality<br />
Catastrophic Missi<strong>on</strong> curtailed<br />
$10 milli<strong>on</strong> in damage<br />
Less than 5 related pers<strong>on</strong>nel fatalities<br />
Serious injury to unrelated pers<strong>on</strong>nel<br />
Critical<br />
Missi<strong>on</strong> interrupted<br />
$500,000 in damage<br />
Some serious injury to related pers<strong>on</strong>nel<br />
Moderate Missi<strong>on</strong> degraded<br />
$50,000 damage<br />
Minor injury<br />
Negligible Missi<strong>on</strong> unaffected<br />
$1,000 damage<br />
Source: USAF 2009<br />
Combining the severity <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> probability estimates <str<strong>on</strong>g>for</str<strong>on</strong>g> a mishap <str<strong>on</strong>g>for</str<strong>on</strong>g>ms a risk assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>for</str<strong>on</strong>g> the potential<br />
hazard. By combining the probability of occurrence with severity, a matrix is created where intersecting<br />
rows <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> columns define a Risk Assessment Matrix. The Risk Assessment Matrix <str<strong>on</strong>g>for</str<strong>on</strong>g>ms the basis <str<strong>on</strong>g>for</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
judging both the acceptability of a risk <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the management level at which the decisi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> acceptability<br />
will be made. The matrix might also be used to prioritize resources to resolve risks due to hazards or to<br />
st<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ardize hazard notificati<strong>on</strong> or resp<strong>on</strong>se acti<strong>on</strong>s (USAF 1998b). A sample Risk Assessment Matrix is<br />
shown in Figure 4-1.<br />
Kirtl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>AFB</strong>, NM January 2011<br />
4-21