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Three Roads To Quantum Gravity

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WHAT CHOOSES THE LAWS OF NATURE?<br />

195<br />

Planck dimensions, then we would expect the elementary<br />

particles to have similar dimensions. The fact that protons<br />

and neutrons are nearly 20 orders of magnitude lighter than<br />

the Planck mass seems very hard to understand. But since the<br />

theory would be unique it would have to get this right.<br />

String theory was invented with the hope that it would be<br />

this ®nal theory. It was its potential uniqueness that made it<br />

worth studying, even as it became clear that it was not soon<br />

going to lead to predictions about the masses of particles or<br />

anything else that could be tested experimentally. After all, if<br />

there is one unique theory it does not need experiments to<br />

verify it ± all that is needed is to show that it is mathematically<br />

consistent. A unique theory must automatically be<br />

proved right by experiments, so it does not matter if a test of<br />

the theory is several centuries away. If we accept the<br />

assumption that there is one unique theory, then it will pay<br />

to concentrate on the problem of testing that theory for<br />

mathematical consistency rather than on developing experimental<br />

tests for it.<br />

The problem is that string theory did not turn out to be<br />

unique. It was instead found to come in a very large number of<br />

versions, each equally consistent. From our present-day<br />

perspective, taking into account only the results on the table,<br />

it seems that the hope for a unique theory is a false hope. In<br />

the current language of string theory, there is no way to<br />

distinguish between any of a very large number of theories:<br />

they are all equally consistent. Moreover, many of them have<br />

adjustable parameters, which could be changed to obtain<br />

agreement with experiment.<br />

Looking back, it is clear that the assumption that a uni®ed<br />

theory would be unique was no more than that ± an<br />

assumption. There is no mathematical or philosophical<br />

principle which guarantees there to be only one mathematically<br />

consistent theory of nature. In fact, we now know that<br />

there can be no such theory. For example, suppose that the<br />

world had one or two spatial dimensions, rather than three.<br />

For these cases we have constructed lots of consistent<br />

quantum theories, including some which have gravity.<br />

These were done as warm-up exercises for various research

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