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Three Roads To Quantum Gravity

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200 THREE ROADS TO QUANTUM GRAVITY<br />

dimensions and appeared to satisfy different laws. The big<br />

bang would then be just be the most recent of a series of<br />

transitions the universe has passed through. And even though<br />

each phase may be governed by a different string theory, the<br />

whole history of the universe would be governed by a single<br />

law ± M theory. We then need an explanation in physical<br />

terms for why the universe `chose' to exist in a phase such as<br />

the one in which we ®nd ourselves, which exists for billions<br />

of years and is hospitable for life. There are several different<br />

possible explanations of this kind, which are described in<br />

detail in another book of mine, The Life of the Cosmos, soI<br />

shall be brief here.<br />

One idea is that new universes could form inside black<br />

holes. In this case our universe would have a large number of<br />

progeny, as it contains at least 10 18 black holes. One may also<br />

conjecture that the changes in the laws from old universes to<br />

new are small, so that the laws in each new universe formed<br />

from our own are close to those that hold in our universe. This<br />

also means that the laws in the universe from which ours was<br />

formed were not very different from those of our own. Given<br />

these two assumptions, a mechanism which is formally<br />

analogous to natural selection operates, because after many<br />

generations those universes that give rise to many black holes<br />

will dominate the population of universes. The theory then<br />

predicts that a randomly chosen universe will have the<br />

property that it will make more black holes than will<br />

universes with slightly different values of the parameters.<br />

We can then ask whether this prediction is satis®ed by our<br />

universe. <strong>To</strong> cut a long story short, up to the present time it<br />

seems that it is. The reason is that carbon chemistry is not<br />

only good for life, it plays an important role in the processes<br />

that make the massive stars that end up as black holes.<br />

However, there are several possible observations which<br />

could disprove the theory. Thus, unlike the God of the Gaps<br />

and the God of The Gap theories, this theory is very vulnerable<br />

to being disproved. Of course, this means that it is likely<br />

to be disproved.<br />

The important thing about this theory is that it shows that<br />

there are alternatives to both the strong and the weak

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