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Three Roads To Quantum Gravity

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220<br />

THREE ROADS TO QUANTUM GRAVITY<br />

the evolution of our universe. This cosmological constant<br />

would make the energy density of empty space equal to<br />

about twice the current value of the energy density of everything<br />

else that has been observed. This may seem surprising,<br />

but the point is that the energy density of all the kinds of<br />

matter that have been observed is currently very small. This<br />

is because the universe is very old. When measured in fundamental<br />

units, its present age is about 10 60 Planck times.<br />

And it has been expanding all this time, thus diluting the<br />

density of matter.<br />

The energy density due to the cosmological constant does<br />

not, as far as we know, dilute as the universe expands. This<br />

gives rise to a very troubling question: Why is it that we live<br />

at a time when the matter density has diluted to the point<br />

that it is of the same order of magnitude as the density due<br />

to the cosmological constant?<br />

I do not know the answer to any of these questions. Neither,<br />

I think, does anyone else, although there are a few interesting<br />

ideas on the table.<br />

However, the apparent fact that the cosmological constant<br />

is not zero has big implications for the quantum theory of<br />

gravity. One reason is that it seems to be incompatible with<br />

string theory. It turns out that a mathematical structure that<br />

is required for string theory to be consistent—which goes by<br />

the name supersymmetry—only permits the cosmological<br />

constant to exist if it has the opposite sign from the one that<br />

has apparently been observed. There are some interesting<br />

studies of string theory in the presence of a negative cosmological<br />

constant, but no one so far knows how to write down<br />

a consistent string theory when the cosmological constant is<br />

positive—as has apparently been observed.<br />

I do not know if this obstacle will kill string theory—string<br />

theorists are very resourceful, and they have often expanded<br />

the definition of string theory to include cases once thought<br />

impossible. But string theorists are worried, for if string theory<br />

cannot be made compatible with a positive cosmological<br />

constant—and that continues to be what the astronomers observe—then<br />

the theory is dead.

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