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Subjectivism and Economic Analysis: Essays in memory of Ludwig ...

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MAURIZIO CASERTA<strong>in</strong>troduc<strong>in</strong>g r<strong>and</strong>om events, explanation is totally lost. All thisgoes to show that the question <strong>of</strong> change should be approached <strong>in</strong>a different way.The follow<strong>in</strong>g suggestion <strong>of</strong> Loasby’s might be a useful start<strong>in</strong>gpo<strong>in</strong>t:The dist<strong>in</strong>ction between <strong>in</strong>cremental <strong>and</strong> discont<strong>in</strong>uouschange is an imposed dist<strong>in</strong>ction. All change <strong>in</strong>volves at leastone discont<strong>in</strong>uity; no change obliterates the past. The<strong>in</strong>vention <strong>of</strong> such categories as revolutionary <strong>and</strong> normalscience, or the hard core <strong>and</strong> protective belt <strong>of</strong> a researchprogramme, like the familiar dist<strong>in</strong>ction between short-<strong>and</strong>long-run effects (…) is part <strong>of</strong> the process through which wetry to make sense <strong>of</strong> the world by impos<strong>in</strong>g manageablecategories upon it. If driven hard, all such dist<strong>in</strong>ctions breakdown.(Loasby 1991:19)Instead <strong>of</strong> portray<strong>in</strong>g change as an unexpected event, thusstress<strong>in</strong>g discont<strong>in</strong>uity, or as a fully known development, imply<strong>in</strong>gstrict cont<strong>in</strong>uity, it might be possible to th<strong>in</strong>k <strong>of</strong> change as anunderly<strong>in</strong>g process whose developments are, as yet, unknown.Such a process may not imp<strong>in</strong>ge on the established relations thatare be<strong>in</strong>g studied, but may produce some consequences at a laterdate. Here novelty is preserved, but a l<strong>in</strong>e <strong>of</strong> development isidentified. When this is acknowledged <strong>in</strong> the establishment <strong>of</strong> a set<strong>of</strong> equilibrium relations, equilibrium by its very nature becomesprovisional.This argument could appear to be very easily countered by theremark that there is always someth<strong>in</strong>g go<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>in</strong> the world that isbeyond our underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g. There is always someth<strong>in</strong>g left out <strong>of</strong>the picture that is difficult to fit <strong>in</strong>to it. When it becomes possibleto fit the new piece <strong>in</strong>, the picture will be enlarged. Thus, despitethe perception that there is more to the world than we can makeout, we should say no more than what our coherent model allowsus to say. In fact, this counter-argument can be questioned. Just asthe analyst perceives that there is more to the world than he or shecan make out, so there is no reason to rule out that the actors <strong>of</strong>the theoretical model enterta<strong>in</strong> the very same perception. It will beargued below that it is through this l<strong>in</strong>e <strong>of</strong> reason<strong>in</strong>g that Loasby’sremarks can be supported <strong>and</strong> a different treatment <strong>of</strong> changesuggested.108

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