Outlook for Air Transport to the Year 2015 - FILT CGIL Foggia

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Chapter 5. Forecasts of Airline Traffic to the Year 2015 39300ACTUALFORECASTFreight tonne-kilometres (billions)22515075TotalInternationalMost likelyHigh (7.3% p.a.)Most likely 5.5% p.a.Low (3.5% p.a.)DomesticMost likely01992 94 96 98 2000 2002 2010 2015Figure 5-2. Trends in scheduled freight traffic — World (1992–2015)(ICAO Contracting States)Table 5-4. ICAO scheduled freight traffic forecasts World (1992–2015)(ICAO Contracting States)Average annual growth rate(per cent)Actual Actual Forecast1992 2002 2015 1992–2002 2002–2015Freight tonne-kilometres (millions)Total 62 675 116 628 233 850 6.4 5.5International 50 753 100 588 209 600 7.1 5.8Domestic 11 922 16 040 24 250 3.5 3.2Freight tonnes carried (thousands)Total 17 647 29 538 51 700 5.3 4.4International 9 313 19 013 37 200 7.4 5.3Domestic 8 334 10 525 14 500 2.4 2.5
40 Outlook for Air Transport to the Year 2015Table 5-5. ICAO scheduled freight traffic Regions of airline registration (1992–2015)(ICAO Contracting States)Actual1992Freight tonne-kilometres(millions)Actual2002Forecast2015Average annualgrowth rate(per cent)1992–2002Regional share of worldtraffic (per cent)2002–2015 1992 2002 2015AfricaTotal 1 238 1 856 3 100 4.1 4.0 2.0 1.6 1.3International 1 135 1 777 3 000 4.6 4.1 2.2 1.8 1.4Domestic 103 79 100 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.4Asia/PacificTotal 19 410 42 063 94 600 8.0 6.4 31.0 36.1 40.5International 17 752 38 196 86 500 8.0 6.5 35.0 38.0 41.3Domestic 1 658 3 867 8 100 8.8 5.9 13.9 24.1 33.4EuropeTotal 19 460 32 828 61 000 5.4 4.9 31.0 28.1 26.1International 17 680 32 019 60 000 6.1 4.9 34.8 31.8 28.6Domestic 1 780 809 1 000 7.6 1.6 14.9 5.0 4.1Middle EastTotal 2 625 5 355 12 250 7.4 6.6 4.2 4.6 5.2International 2 552 5 251 12 100 7.5 6.6 5.0 5.2 5.8Domestic 73 104 150 3.6 2.9 0.6 0.6 0.6North AmericaTotal 16 867 30 586 57 500 6.1 5.0 26.9 26.2 24.6International 9 114 20 264 44 000 8.3 6.1 18.0 20.1 21.0Domestic 7 753 10 322 13 500 2.9 2.1 65.0 64.3 55.7Latin America/CaribbeanTotal 3 075 3 940 5 400 2.5 2.5 4.9 3.4 2.3International 2 520 3 079 4 000 2.0 2.0 5.0 3.1 1.9Domestic 555 861 1 400 4.5 3.8 4.7 5.4 5.8WorldTotal 62 675 116 628 233 850 6.4 5.5 100.0 100.0 100.0International 50 753 100 586 209 600 7.1 5.8 100.0 100.0 100.0Domestic 11 922 16 042 24 250 3.0 3.2 100.0 100.0 100.0
Page 2: FOREWORDIntroduction1. This circula
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Page 27 and 28: Chapter 3WORLD ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
Page 29 and 30: Chapter 4AIRLINE FINANCIAL TRENDSOP
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Page 47 and 48: Chapter 6FORECASTS OF AIRCRAFT MOVE
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Outlook for Air Transport to the Year 2015 - FILT CGIL Foggia

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