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wind energy resource evaluation in a site of central italy ... - WindSim

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Table 6.11: RMS error for cross check<strong>in</strong>g by mean <strong>w<strong>in</strong>d</strong> velocity.Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the table 6.11 the best match is found <strong>in</strong> the period April-May, start<strong>in</strong>gfrom data <strong>of</strong> the station 5424 at 15 meters height and predict<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>w<strong>in</strong>d</strong>characteristics <strong>in</strong> station 5428 at 30 meters height, situation that corresponds to thegraph 6.8 e.Table 6.11 allows also to understand which dataset is to be used for a prediction <strong>of</strong>the <strong>w<strong>in</strong>d</strong> <strong>in</strong> the other tower. The best dataset corresponds to station 5424 at 15meters high, as shown by the total RMS error. Consider<strong>in</strong>g that the 5424 tower ispositioned near a cliff this result could seem somehow peculiar. An explanation <strong>of</strong>this phenomenon can be related to the fact that is relatively straightforward topredict the flow at higher quotes and for non complex orography (mast 5428), evenstart<strong>in</strong>g from data at low quotes and placed <strong>in</strong> critical positions as a cliff (tower5424).In general, from table 6.11 it can be seen that errors are lower <strong>in</strong> the period April-May and this could be expla<strong>in</strong>ed by assum<strong>in</strong>g that seasonal thermal effects are more<strong>in</strong>fluent when the terra<strong>in</strong> is cool<strong>in</strong>g (Nov-Dec) <strong>in</strong>stead <strong>of</strong> warm<strong>in</strong>g up (Apr-May).112

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