Technical Sessions – Monday July 11
Technical Sessions – Monday July 11
Technical Sessions – Monday July 11
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FB-21 IFORS 20<strong>11</strong> - Melbourne<br />
2 - Integration of Multi-criteria Decision Analysis and Lifecycle<br />
Assessment to Measure Environmental Impacts<br />
of Biomass Production<br />
Tanja Myllyviita, Finnish environment institute, P.O.Box <strong>11</strong>1,<br />
FI-80101, Joensuu, Finland, tanja.myllyviita@joensuu.fi, Anne<br />
Holma, Riina Antikainen, Katja Lähtinen, Pekka Leskinen<br />
Life-cycle assessment (LCA) evaluates environmental impacts of a product<br />
from processing of raw-material to disposal with environmental impact categories.<br />
MCDA was applied to assess the importance of different LCA impact<br />
categories in biomass production. Experts valuated impact categories with a<br />
MCDA-application. The most important impact categories were natural landuse<br />
and climate change. Also biodiversity was considered important. The results<br />
indicate that MCDA can provide suitable tools for the weighting phase in<br />
LCA, which enables transforming the environmental impacts into one number.<br />
3 - On Elicitation Techniques of Near-consistent Pairwise<br />
Comparison Matrices<br />
Jozsef Temesi, Operations Research and Actuarial Studies,<br />
Corvinus University of Budapest, Fovam ter 8, 1093, Budapest,<br />
Hungary, jozsef.temesi@uni-corvinus.hu<br />
Pairwise comparison matrices (PCMs) are frequently used in various multicriteria<br />
decision-making methods. One of the most important properties of a<br />
PCM is consistency. My presentation will define the near-consistency of the<br />
PCM, and the error-free property of the decision-maker. Based on these definitions<br />
several methods can be generated to obtain the elements of a pairwise<br />
comparison matrix. Different elicitation techniques will be introduced, and —<br />
in case of non-consistent matrices — adjustment methods will be analyzed for<br />
both informed and uninformed decision-makers.<br />
4 - An Analysis of the Major Drivers of Stock Market Prices-<br />
Case Study for the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange (2007-<br />
2008)<br />
Kelvin T Chirenje, Applied Maths, National University of<br />
Science and Technology, 10 Rukumbati Rd, Zengeza 3, +263,<br />
Chitungwiza, Harare, Zimbabwe, kchirenje@gmail.com<br />
This research is aimed at assessing the main factors that influenced the stock<br />
prices on the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange (ZSE) to be continuously bullish from<br />
2007-2008, despite harsh economic conditions which prevailed in the country<br />
and explore the applicability of traditional theorist to the ZSE. Furthermore, the<br />
research will outline why the stock market was performing extraordinarily well<br />
in an economy down the drain with many corporations reporting subnormal<br />
profits and some shutting down<br />
� FB-21<br />
Friday, 13:15-14:45<br />
Meeting Room 218<br />
Stochastic Open Pit Mine Planning and<br />
Supply Chains<br />
Stream: Mining Applications<br />
Invited session<br />
Chair: Gary Froyland, School of Mathematics and Statistics,<br />
University of New South Wales, 2052, Sydney, NSW, Australia,<br />
g.froyland@unsw.edu.au<br />
1 - Open Pit Mine Planning with Uncertain Geology via<br />
Multi-stage Integer Stochastic Programming with Endogenous<br />
Uncertainty<br />
Gary Froyland, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University<br />
of New South Wales, 2052, Sydney, NSW, Australia,<br />
g.froyland@unsw.edu.au, Natashia Boland, Irina Dumitrescu<br />
Geological uncertainty is a major source of financial risk for mining projects.<br />
It is particularly difficult to handle as the timing of the resolution of the uncertainty<br />
is dependent upon earlier decisions made. We model the problem of NPV<br />
optimisation under geological uncertainty as a multi-stage integer stochastic<br />
programming under endogenous uncertainty. Our model allows mining and<br />
processing decisions to flexibly adapt over time, in response to observation of<br />
the geology of the material mined. We also discuss a number of model reductions<br />
to decrease computational effort.<br />
124<br />
2 - Dealing with Price Uncertainty in Mine Planning<br />
Andrés Weintraub, University of Chile, Santiago, Chile,<br />
aweintra@dii.uchile.cl, Roger Wets, David Woodruff, Jean-Paul<br />
Watson, Rafael Epstein, Jaime Gacitua<br />
We consider the problem of uncertainty in future copper prices, reflected<br />
through scenarios with probabilites. Non-anticipativity constraints are imposed<br />
on the basic problem constraints. For larger problems solving the problem with<br />
the non-anticipativity constraints is very difficult computationally. We develop<br />
an approach for this problem based on Progressive Hedging, where the problem<br />
is decomposed by scenarios, and convergence to a feasible solution is attained<br />
through penalizing deviations from non-anticipativity. Positive results were<br />
obtained for an open pit mine problem.<br />
3 - Effective Computational Models For Oil Refinery Operations<br />
Juan Kuther, Maths and Stats, Curtin University, GPO BOX<br />
U1987, 6845, Perth, WA, Australia,<br />
juan.kok@postgrad.curtin.edu.au, Louis Caccetta<br />
Petroleum refineries are very complex systems, giving rise to computationally<br />
difficult optimization models. Resolution of these problems is crucial for production<br />
planning and in particular in the evaluation and selection of crudes,<br />
feedstocks, products and processing options. These large-scale production<br />
planning models, which can are formulated as non-convex Mixed Integer Nonlinear<br />
Programming (MINLP) models, are very difficult to solve. Currently<br />
available tools are deficient and usually give rise to inconsistent predictions of<br />
refinery productivity and operation. Recent advances in a number of disciplines<br />
including computer science, mathematical programming, heuristics and complimentary<br />
disciplines like constraint programming and artificial intelligence<br />
motivate this research. These recent advances in technology will be utilised to<br />
formulate effective oil refinery production planning models.<br />
4 - Collaborative Resource Constrained Scheduling : A<br />
Coal Industry Example<br />
Anu Thomas, Industrial Engineering and Operations Research,<br />
IITB Monash Research Academy, IIT Bombay, Powai, 400076,<br />
Mumbai, MH, India, anuthomas@iitb.ac.in, Gaurav Singh,<br />
Mohan Krishnamoorthy, Jayendran Venkateswaran<br />
We present a collaborative resource constrained scheduling problem motivated<br />
by the mining industry. In this model, there are several independent mines<br />
which have delivery jobs to be completed by certain due dates (ship arrival<br />
times). These jobs also require trains (of certain sizes) that are independently<br />
provided by a rail operator having a finite number of trains. We present MIP<br />
formulations, heuristic algorithms and computational results to compare centralised<br />
and decentralised decision making for minimising total weighted tardiness<br />
of all the jobs while maximising train utilisation.